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CHILE › PRIMERA B
13.09.2026 15:30
Estadio Santiago Bueras
Magallanes
Match Timeline
D. Puerto Montt
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
J. James
Magallanes
⚽
45'
M. Alegre
Magallanes
🔄
46'
J. Cardenas ↔ C. Vargas
D. Puerto Montt
🟨
57'
G. Guzman
Magallanes
🔄
61'
G. Guzman ↔ C. Jorquera
Magallanes
🔄
61'
M. Alegre ↔ V. Cabezas
Magallanes
🔄
65'
A. Sabella ↔ J. Flores
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
71'
R. Farfan ↔ A. Toledo
Magallanes
🔄
71'
M. Sepulveda ↔ C. Meneses
Magallanes
🟨
72'
D. Diaz
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
81'
K. Gonzalez ↔ K. Egana
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
81'
S. Perez ↔ B. Taiva
D. Puerto Montt
🔄
85'
M. Osorio ↔ B. Liuzzi
Magallanes
⚽
90'
V. Cabezas
Magallanes

Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.96
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.79
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.5%
1.96 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.79 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.96 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.78 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Magallanes Win 56.5%
Draw 13.3%
D. Puerto Montt Win 30.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Magallanes1.34
D. Puerto Montt1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Magallanes Magallanes
WWDLW
45 GF / 56 GA
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt
WLDWL
34 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
23
BTTS Yes
13
20
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Magallanes Magallanes 31 matches
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 30 matches
Magallanes Statistic D. Puerto Montt
10 Wins 13
7 Draws 5
14 Losses 12
45 Goals For 34
56 Goals Against 35
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
23 BTTS Yes 13
25 Over 1.5 23
20 Over 2.5 11
13 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Magallanes's more proactive style and D. Puerto Montt's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. D. Puerto Montt arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward D. Puerto Montt. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward D. Puerto Montt having the stronger overall control.

Magallanes Analysis

Magallanes arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 36 points after 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 38:37 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

D. Puerto Montt Analysis

D. Puerto Montt approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 34 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 25:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Magallanes won 3 times, D. Puerto Montt won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Magallanes's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Magallanes 4-3-2-1 / D. Puerto Montt 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Magallanes wins 3, draws 3, D. Puerto Montt wins 4

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 44:27 17 48
W W D L W
2 26 13 8 5 41:29 12 47
W W W W W
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
L L L W W
4 26 12 7 7 42:38 4 43
W W D D L
5 26 11 8 7 44:26 18 41
W L D L W
6 26 11 8 7 38:34 4 41
W D W W D
7 26 10 9 7 33:24 9 39
W W L W L
8 26 10 7 9 40:39 1 37
W W D L L
9 26 10 6 10 32:34 -2 36
L D L D L
10 26 10 4 12 26:34 -8 34
L L L W L
11 26 8 8 10 40:36 4 32
L D W L W
12 26 7 10 9 35:30 5 31
W W L L L
13 26 6 9 11 22:39 -17 27
L L W L D
14 26 4 10 12 27:40 -13 22
L D W D D
15 26 5 7 14 16:44 -28 22
L L L D D
16 26 4 6 16 23:42 -19 18
L L W W W