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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
06.06.2026 06:00
Machida GION Stadium
Referee: K. Takasaki
Machida Zelvia
Match Timeline
Nagoya Grampus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Gen Shoji
Machida Zelvia
🟨
17'
Yudai Kimura
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
55'
Erik
Machida Zelvia
🟨
58'
Hiroyuki Mae
Machida Zelvia
🔄
69'
S. Fujio ↔ Na Sang-Ho
Machida Zelvia
🔄
75'
Y. Yamagishi ↔ K. Nagai
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
75'
Y. Nogami ↔ T. Uchida
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
84'
Tomoki Takamine
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
84'
Y. Kimura ↔ H. Koda
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
84'
R. Izumi ↔ H. Suzuki
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
85'
Erik ↔ K. Kuwayama
Machida Zelvia
🔄
85'
G. Shoji ↔ I. Dresevic
Machida Zelvia
🟨
90+8'
Tomoki Takamine
Nagoya Grampus
🟥
90+8'
Tomoki Takamine
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
90+3'
H. Nakamura ↔ H. Mochizuki
Machida Zelvia
🔄
90+3'
Y. Sato ↔ K. Mikuni
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
91'
R. Shirasaki ↔ H. Shimoda
Machida Zelvia
🔄
91'
D. Okamura ↔ B. Vasquez
Machida Zelvia
⚽
93'
K. Nagai · Assist: H. Koda
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
95'
T. Morishima ↔ M. Ono
Nagoya Grampus
⚽
100'
Y. Nakayama · Assist: K. Kuwayama
Machida Zelvia
⚽
113'
H. Shimoda · Assist: Y. Nakayama
Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Machida Zelvia Win 66.7%
Draw 8.6%
Nagoya Grampus Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Machida Zelvia1.44
Nagoya Grampus1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
WWDLW
27 GF / 24 GA
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WLDWL
33 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
11
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
13
3.89
Shots on Goal
4.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 20 matches
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 19 matches
Machida Zelvia Statistic Nagoya Grampus
8 Wins 8
9 Draws 6
3 Losses 5
27 Goals For 33
24 Goals Against 30
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
11 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 2
3.89 Shots On Goal 4.79
11.95 Total Shots 13.47
4.05 Corners 5.05
44% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Machida Zelvia won 6 times, Nagoya Grampus won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Machida Zelvia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1 / Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Machida Zelvia wins 6, draws 1, Nagoya Grampus wins 2

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)