Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.3%
|
- |
Macara
Libertad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Macara
12 matches
Libertad
10 matches
| Macara | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 4 |
| 11 | Goals For | 8 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.8 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.7 | Shots On Goal | 3.4 |
| 12.7 | Total Shots | 10.1 |
| 4.9 | Corners | 3.9 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Macara's more proactive style and Libertad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Libertad. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Macara expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Libertad in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad having the stronger overall control.
Macara approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 13 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:5 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Franco Posse (4 goals), F. Paz (2 goals), Gaston Blanc (1 goals), with creative support from F. Paz (2 assists), Franco Posse (1 assists), J. Chala (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
With 10 points from 10 games and a place of 14, Libertad still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 8:8, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Chere (2 goals), V. Branda (2 goals), B. Caicedo (1 goals), with creative support from G. J. Cortez Casierra (2 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), A. Chere (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 4 times, Libertad won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:1 from Macara's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Macara
9
2
5
8
3
3
Lineups
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Emelec
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Manta FC
Macara
Orense SC
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
FBC Melgar
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Orense SC
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 14 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 26 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 5 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Macara
Home
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | -3 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
Libertad
Away
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
| 15 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | -7 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
W
L
D
L
D
|