06.10.2026 18:45
Stade de Luxembourg
Referee: Andris Treimanis

Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 89.9%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
89.9%
1.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.52 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.18 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Luxembourg Win 47.6%
Draw 42.3%
Bulgaria Win 10.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luxembourg1
Bulgaria0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luxembourg Luxembourg
WWDLW
3 GF / 6 GA
Bulgaria Bulgaria
WLDWL
3 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
1
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
2.2
Shots on Goal
2.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luxembourg Luxembourg 5 matches
Bulgaria Bulgaria 5 matches
Luxembourg Statistic Bulgaria
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
3 Goals For 3
6 Goals Against 8
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
2.2 Shots On Goal 2.4
7.6 Total Shots 7.4
2.6 Corners 2.4
42% Ball Possession 31.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Luxembourg won 0 times, Bulgaria won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Luxembourg's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Luxembourg 4-1-4-1 / Bulgaria 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Luxembourg wins 0, draws 3, Bulgaria wins 2

Standings

League C - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 7:1 6 7
W W D
2 3 1 2 0 2:1 1 5
W D D
3 3 1 0 2 2:5 -3 3
L L W
4 3 0 1 2 1:5 -4 1
L D L
Promotion
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