BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE

15.08.2026 18:15

Ludogorets

2 - 0

Botev Plovdiv

Huvepharma Arena

Referee: Dragomir Draganov, Bulgaria

Ludogorets

Match Timeline

Botev Plovdiv

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 62.1%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 62.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 58.6%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	62.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	62.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.6%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Ludogorets Win 62.1%

Draw 7.5%

Botev Plovdiv Win 30.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Ludogorets1.59

Botev Plovdiv1.93

Recent Form (Last 5)

Ludogorets

WWDLW

29 GF / 19 GA

Botev Plovdiv

WLDWL

36 GF / 10 GA

Key Stats

2.23

Average Goals Scored

2.25

1.46

Average Goals Conceded

0.63

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.17

Shots on Goal

8.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ludogorets 13 matches

Botev Plovdiv 16 matches

Ludogorets	Statistic	Botev Plovdiv
9	Wins	13
3	Draws	1
1	Losses	2
29	Goals For	36
19	Goals Against	10
2.23	Avg Goals Scored	2.25
1.46	Avg Goals Conceded	0.63
8	BTTS Yes	6
10	Over 1.5	12
8	Over 2.5	9
7	Over 3.5	7
4	Clean Sheets	10
1	Failed To Score	0
3.17	Shots On Goal	8.75
7	Total Shots	17.75
2.33	Corners	4.75
37%	Ball Possession	59.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ludogorets won 11 times, Botev Plovdiv won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:14 from Ludogorets's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)

Predicted formations: Ludogorets 4-2-3-1 / Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Ludogorets wins 11, draws 2, Botev Plovdiv wins 2

Standings

A PFG

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21:4	17	25	D W W W W
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24:7	17	24	D W W D W
3	Ludogorets Home	9	7	2	0	16:7	9	23	W W D D W
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19:10	9	22	W W L W L
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15:12	3	17	D L L W W
6	Botev Plovdiv Away	10	5	1	4	16:14	2	16	W W W L L
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9:8	1	11	L D W L D
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10:15	-5	10	L D D D L
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9:19	-10	9	D D W L W
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8:18	-10	8	L L L D W
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11:18	-7	7	W L D L D
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5:13	-8	7	D L W L L
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11:20	-9	6	D D L L W
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10:19	-9	5	D L L D L

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