🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
BMO Stadium
Referee: I. Elfath
Los Angeles FC
Match Timeline
San Diego
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
21'
D. Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
🟨
29'
A. Alvarado Jr
San Diego
🔄
53'
L. Morgan ↔ E. Achouri
San Diego
🟨
62'
E. Segura
Los Angeles FC
🔄
65'
T. Boyd ↔ J. Shaffelburg
Los Angeles FC
🔄
65'
T. Tillman ↔ M. Choiniere
Los Angeles FC
🔄
73'
A. Alvarado Jr ↔ J. Tverskov
San Diego
🔄
73'
Gabriel Pirani ↔ O. Valakari
San Diego
🟨
75'
O. Valakari
San Diego
🟨
80'
M. Delgado
Los Angeles FC
🟨
84'
M. Choiniere
Los Angeles FC
🔄
85'
M. Ingvartsen ↔ A. Pellegrino
San Diego
🔄
85'
I. Murphy ↔ C. McVey
San Diego
89'
A. Dreyer
San Diego
🟨
90'
A. Dreyer
San Diego
🔄
90'
R. Hollingshead ↔ R. Raposo
Los Angeles FC
🔄
90'
E. Segura ↔ J. Ebobisse
Los Angeles FC
🟨
90+6'
A. Dreyer
San Diego
🟥
90+6'
A. Dreyer
San Diego
🟨
90+7'
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.6%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.6%
1.67
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.48
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.2%
1.30
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.75
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles FC Win 83.6%
Draw 4.6%
San Diego Win 11.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles FC1.77
San Diego1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WWDLW
58 GF / 31 GA
San Diego San Diego
WLDWL
41 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
15
BTTS Yes
12
18
Over 2.5
14
4.56
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 31 matches
San Diego San Diego 23 matches
Los Angeles FC Statistic San Diego
17 Wins 8
8 Draws 6
6 Losses 9
58 Goals For 41
31 Goals Against 37
1.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
15 BTTS Yes 12
24 Over 1.5 18
18 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 11
15 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 5
4.56 Shots On Goal 4.36
12.74 Total Shots 11.45
5.37 Corners 4.59
46.7% Ball Possession 59.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Diego. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Los Angeles FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Los Angeles FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 34 points compared to San Diego in 13 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

Los Angeles FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 34 points after 19 matches. They have recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a 35:19 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Denis Bouanga (9 goals), David Martínez Morales (4 goals), Son Heung-min (3 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-min (6 assists), Denis Bouanga (2 assists), Tyler Boyd (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

San Diego Analysis

So far, San Diego have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 21 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 32:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), Anders Dreyer (3 goals), David Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from Anders Dreyer (4 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), Onni Valakari (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC won 0 times, San Diego won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Los Angeles FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles FC 4-3-3 / San Diego 4-3-3
Missing players: Los Angeles FC 2, San Diego 2
H2H summary: Los Angeles FC wins 0, draws 1, San Diego wins 2
Stats
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
San Diego San Diego
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
9 Corner Kicks 7
21 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 4
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
397 Total passes 598
325 Passes accurate 527
0.94 expected_goals 1.14
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Los Angeles FC
Formation
San Diego
H. Lloris
H. Lloris
R. Hollingshead
R. Hollingshead
R. Porteous
R. Porteous
Nkosi Tafari
Nkosi Tafari
Y. Cheberko
Y. Cheberko
T. Tillman
T. Tillman
E. Segura
E. Segura
M. Delgado
M. Delgado
T. Boyd
T. Boyd
Son Heung-Min
Son Heung-Min
D. Bouanga
D. Bouanga
dos Santos CJ
dos Santos CJ
O. Verhoeven
O. Verhoeven
M. Duah
M. Duah
I. Murphy
I. Murphy
L. Bombino
L. Bombino
A. Alvarado Jr
A. Alvarado Jr
A. Godoy
A. Godoy
Gabriel Pirani
Gabriel Pirani
A. Dreyer
A. Dreyer
M. Ingvartsen
M. Ingvartsen
L. Morgan
L. Morgan
Los Angeles FC 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
H. Lloris
G
24
R. Hollingshead
↓ 90'
D
5
R. Porteous
D
91
Nkosi Tafari
D
23
Y. Cheberko
D
11
T. Tillman
↓ 65'
M
4
E. Segura
↓ 90' 🟨 62'
M
8
M. Delgado
🟨 80'
M
19
T. Boyd
↓ 65'
F
7
Son Heung-Min
🟨 90+7'
F
99
D. Bouanga
F
Substitutes
31
C. Carter
G
45
K. Nielsen
D
33
A. Long
D
22
J. Terry
M
66
M. Choiniere
↑ 65' 🟨 84'
M
36
D. Guerra
M
18
J. Shaffelburg
↑ 65'
F
21
R. Raposo
↑ 90'
M
17
J. Ebobisse
↑ 90'
F
San Diego 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
dos Santos CJ
G
33
O. Verhoeven
D
26
M. Duah
D
32
I. Murphy
↓ 85'
D
27
L. Bombino
D
70
A. Alvarado Jr
↓ 73' 🟨 29'
M
20
A. Godoy
M
12
Gabriel Pirani
↓ 73'
M
10
A. Dreyer
⚽ 89' 🟨 90' 🟨 90+6' 🟥 90+6'
F
7
M. Ingvartsen
↓ 85'
F
9
L. Morgan
↓ 53'
F
Substitutes
18
D. Ferree
G
3
D. Thorhallsson
D
97
C. McVey
↑ 85'
D
5
K. Sargeant
8
O. Valakari
↑ 73' 🟨 75'
M
19
D. Vazquez
M
6
J. Tverskov
↑ 73'
M
90
A. Pellegrino
↑ 85'
F
99
E. Achouri
↑ 53'
M
Last matches: Los Angeles FC
01.08.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Sporting Kansas City
4
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake
3
1
W
18.07.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
Los Angeles FC
El Salvador
3
0
W
25.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders
1
0
W
18.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC
2
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
1
2
L
11.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
1
4
L
07.05.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
0
4
L
03.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
2
2
D
30.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
2
1
W
25.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Colorado Rapids
0
0
D
19.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
4
L
15.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
11.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
08.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
3
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Orlando City SC
6
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Austin
0
0
D
Last matches: San Diego
02.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
1
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
San Diego
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
24.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
4
L
17.05.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
14.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Austin
5
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
4
L
12.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
3
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
02.03.26
Maj
San Diego
St. Louis City
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Diego
CF Montreal
5
0
W
H2H: Los Angeles FC vs San Diego
03.05.26
H2H
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
01.09.25
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
1
2
L
30.03.25
H2H
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
3
2
L
Last matches: Los Angeles FC
26.07.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Sporting Kansas City
4
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake
3
1
W
05.07.26
Fri
Los Angeles FC
El Salvador
3
0
W
25.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders
1
0
W
11.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
1
4
L
30.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
2
1
W
23.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Colorado Rapids
0
0
D
19.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
3
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Orlando City SC
6
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
2
0
W
11.03.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
LD Alajuelense
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Real Espana
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Inter Miami
3
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Los Angeles FC
New York City FC
1
1
D
28.01.26
Fri
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
Los Angeles FC
Orange County SC
1
0
W
H2H at home: Los Angeles FC
01.09.25
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
1
2
L
Last matches: San Diego
02.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
23.07.26
Maj
San Diego
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
4
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
08.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
11.02.26
CON
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
H2H away: San Diego
01.09.25
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
1
2
W
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.56
Draw 4.45
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.87
Draw 2.70
Home 2.13
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 2.75 1.58
Over 3.0 1.74
Over 3.25 1.98
Over 3.5 2.21
Over 3.75 2.53
Over 4.5 3.74
Over 5.5 7.02
Under 1.5 5.75
Under 2.5 2.71
Under 2.75 2.44
Under 3.0 2.16
Under 3.25 1.89
Under 3.5 1.71
Under 3.75 1.55
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 4.33
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.60
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.88
Home 1.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.60
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 4.35
Home 1.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.60
Home 1.92
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 3.10
Home 1.86
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.50
Over 3.0 1.62
Over 3.25 1.84
Over 3.5 2.06
Over 3.75 2.33
Over 4.0 2.80
Over 4.25 3.10
Over 4.5 3.45
Over 5.5 6.10
Over 6.5 10.50
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.80
Under 2.75 2.50
Under 3.0 2.20
Under 3.25 1.91
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 3.75 1.57
Under 4.0 1.41
Under 4.25 1.34
Under 4.5 1.29
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.02

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 4 3 40:17 23 37
W D D L W
2 19 11 2 6 28:24 4 35
W W W W D
3 20 10 4 6 35:20 15 34
L D W W W
4 19 10 3 6 38:27 11 33
L L D L W
5 19 8 6 5 34:26 8 30
W D L D W
6 19 8 5 6 27:25 2 29
W D W W W
7 18 8 4 6 30:26 4 28
D D L L D
8 19 8 1 10 29:25 4 25
W W L W L
9 19 6 7 6 21:26 -5 25
D D D L D
10 19 7 3 9 34:35 -1 24
L W W D W
11 18 7 3 8 20:24 -4 24
L L L L L
12 19 6 6 7 33:29 4 24
W D W L L
13 20 5 7 8 24:30 -6 22
L D D L L
14 19 4 5 10 23:38 -15 17
L L L W L
15 19 4 2 13 18:48 -30 14
L L L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Los Angeles FC 2 missing
-
S. Palencia
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
Igor Jesus
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
San Diego 2 missing
-
P. Sisniega
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
A. Pellegrino
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT