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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
05.10.2026 01:15
Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana
Referee: Carlos Ortega
Llaneros
Match Timeline
America de Cali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
Francisco Meza · Assist: Juan Ramirez
Llaneros
🟨
31'
Francisco Meza
Llaneros
🟨
54'
Neider Ospina
Llaneros
🔄
58'
Neider Ospina ↔ Daniel Mantilla
Llaneros
🔄
58'
Luis Miranda ↔ Marlon Sierra
Llaneros
🔄
60'
Frank Castaneda ↔ Jhon Vasquez
Llaneros
🔄
67'
Yani Quintero ↔ José Cavadia
America de Cali
🔄
67'
Tomás Ángel ↔ Daniel Valencia
America de Cali
⚽
73'
Daniel Valencia · Assist: Jhon Murillo
America de Cali
🔄
82'
Jhon Murillo ↔ Jhon Palacios
America de Cali
🟨
83'
Jhon Vasquez
Llaneros
🟨
83'
Jean Paulo Fernandes Filho
America de Cali
🔄
84'
Juan Castilla ↔ Joel Jesús Contreras Torres
Llaneros
🟨
90+1'
Dany Rosero
America de Cali
🔄
90+2'
Juan Ramirez ↔ Kelvin Osorio
Llaneros
⚽
90+5'
Cristian Tovar · Assist: Yeison Guzmán
America de Cali
🔄
90+7'
José Cavadia ↔ Camilo Amu
America de Cali

Llaneros vs America de Cali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50%
Odds 2.15
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.16
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50%
2.15 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.16 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Llaneros Win 34.8%
Draw 15.2%
America de Cali Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Llaneros0.92
America de Cali1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Llaneros Llaneros
WWDLW
31 GF / 35 GA
America de Cali America de Cali
WLDWL
52 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
16
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
14
3.77
Shots on Goal
4.66

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Llaneros Llaneros 31 matches
America de Cali America de Cali 36 matches
Llaneros Statistic America de Cali
8 Wins 19
12 Draws 8
11 Losses 9
31 Goals For 52
35 Goals Against 29
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
16 BTTS Yes 13
23 Over 1.5 23
9 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 18
8 Failed To Score 7
3.77 Shots On Goal 4.66
10.53 Total Shots 13.5
4.87 Corners 4.06
46.5% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by America de Cali's more proactive style and Llaneros's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America de Cali. America de Cali carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 33 points while Llaneros sit 14 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Llaneros expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and America de Cali in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America de Cali having the stronger overall control. Llaneros have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Llaneros Analysis

With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 14, Llaneros still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats with a 17:20 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Ospina (6 goals), J. Vásquez (6 goals), C. Cortés (3 goals), with creative support from N. Ospina (4 assists), J. Vásquez (3 assists), L. Miranda (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

America de Cali Analysis

Placed 4 with 33 points from 19 outings, America de Cali continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 25:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Yeison Guzmán (10 goals), Y. Guzmán (5 goals), D. Rosero (4 goals), with creative support from R. Carrascal (9 assists), L. Quiñones (4 assists), Yeison Guzmán (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Llaneros won 0 times, America de Cali won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Llaneros's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: Llaneros 4-1-4-1 / America de Cali 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Llaneros wins 0, draws 4, America de Cali wins 1

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D L W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L L W L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D L L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D W W D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D L W D
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W L L D L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W L W W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L D D L
Post season qualification