Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
76.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
31.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
77.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Livingston
Aberdeen
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Livingston
34 matches
Aberdeen
42 matches
| Livingston | Statistic | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 10 |
| 13 | Draws | 9 |
| 19 | Losses | 23 |
| 37 | Goals For | 39 |
| 66 | Goals Against | 67 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.93 |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 20 |
| 3.26 | Shots On Goal | 3.4 |
| 9.53 | Total Shots | 11.26 |
| 4.47 | Corners | 4.57 |
| 44.1% | Ball Possession | 45.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Aberdeen. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Livingston expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Aberdeen in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aberdeen having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Livingston are currently 6 in the standings with 19 points from 34 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 13 draws, and 19 losses, while the 37:66 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Smith (7 goals), Jeremy Bokila (5 goals), S. Pittman (5 goals), with creative support from Cristian Montano (3 assists), M. Tait (3 assists), L. Smith (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 2 with 36 points from 34 outings, Aberdeen continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 18 defeats, together with a 34:48 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kevin Nisbet (9 goals), J. Karlsson (5 goals), Marko Lazetić (4 goals), with creative support from Stuart Armstrong (5 assists), Topi Keskinen (3 assists), Kevin Nisbet (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Livingston won 3 times, Aberdeen won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:29 from Livingston's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Livingston
5
2
6
3
5
2
Lineups
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Dundee
Livingston
ST Mirren
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Hibernian
Livingston
ST Mirren
Livingston
Rangers
Livingston
Dundee
Livingston
Celtic
Livingston
Falkirk
Livingston
Motherwell
Livingston
Aberdeen
Livingston
ST Mirren
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Celtic
Aberdeen
Dundee
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
Rangers
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Aberdeen
Celtic
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Dundee
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Livingston
Aberdeen
Rangers
Aberdeen
Rangers
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
ST Mirren
Livingston
Rangers
Livingston
Falkirk
Livingston
Motherwell
Livingston
ST Mirren
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Celtic
Livingston
Dundee
Livingston
Aberdeen
Livingston
Hibernian
Livingston
Motherwell
Livingston
Rangers
Livingston
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
Falkirk
Aberdeen
Dundee
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
Rangers
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Rangers
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Celtic
Aberdeen
Sparta Praha
Aberdeen
Dundee
Aberdeen
Livingston
Aberdeen
AEK Larnaca
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
AEK Athens FC
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 30 | 70 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 35 | 69 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 24 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Aberdeen
Away
|
33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Livingston
Home
|
33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
L
D
L
D
W
|