03.10.2026 18:00
Juan Antonio Arias Stadium
Liniers
Match Timeline
Excursionistas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
83'
R. Di Motta
Liniers

Liniers vs Excursionistas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.97
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 2.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.2%
1.97 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
2.47 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Liniers Win 24.6%
Draw 17.3%
Excursionistas Win 58.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Liniers0.8
Excursionistas1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Liniers Liniers
WWDLW
30 GF / 39 GA
Excursionistas Excursionistas
WLDWL
59 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
16
BTTS Yes
16
9
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Liniers Liniers 37 matches
Excursionistas Excursionistas 37 matches
Liniers Statistic Excursionistas
9 Wins 22
13 Draws 8
15 Losses 7
30 Goals For 59
39 Goals Against 29
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
16 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 26
9 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 16
16 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Excursionistas's more proactive style and Liniers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Excursionistas. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Excursionistas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 71 points while Liniers sit 17 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Excursionistas having the stronger overall control. Excursionistas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Liniers Analysis

Liniers sit 17 with 40 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 13 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 30:37 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Excursionistas Analysis

Excursionistas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 71 points after 36 outings. With 21 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 56:29, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Liniers won 3 times, Excursionistas won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:21 from Liniers's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
H2H summary: Liniers wins 3, draws 4, Excursionistas wins 8

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 22 8 8 59:30 29 74
L W W W W
2 38 19 12 7 50:25 25 69
L W L W W
3 38 19 10 9 40:23 17 67
L W D L W
4 38 18 11 9 45:28 17 65
W W D L W
5 38 17 13 8 38:23 15 64
L D W L L
6 38 17 12 9 43:29 14 63
L L L L W
7 38 17 10 11 42:38 4 61
W L W W L
8 38 17 9 12 42:38 4 60
W W W W D
9 38 14 13 11 39:34 5 55
D D W D W
10 38 13 12 13 46:50 -4 51
W L L D D
11 38 12 14 12 39:41 -2 50
W L W W D
12 38 11 14 13 40:42 -2 47
L W D L L
13 38 11 14 13 37:39 -2 47
W W D D D
14 38 11 11 16 33:39 -6 44
L L W L L
15 38 9 16 13 30:37 -7 43
D D D W L
16 38 10 13 15 31:39 -8 43
W L L W D
17 37 10 13 14 36:51 -15 43
L W L D L
18 38 9 14 15 33:39 -6 41
D W L W D
19 38 10 9 19 34:48 -14 39
D L L W L
20 37 8 14 15 24:37 -13 38
W D L D D
21 38 5 20 13 21:35 -14 35
W D L L W
22 38 1 12 25 25:62 -37 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)