NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Åråsen
Referee: R. Saggi
Lillestrom
Match Timeline
Viking
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
H. Heggheim
Viking
31'
K. Askildsen · Assist: E. Austbo
Viking
🔄
46'
H. Heggheim ↔ S. Bjorshol
Viking
55'
P. Christiansen
Viking
🟨
58'
Z. Tripic
Viking
🟨
62'
A. Baertelsen
Viking
🔄
62'
Z. Tripic ↔ N. Fuglestad
Viking
🔄
63'
E. Austbo ↔ R. Alte
Viking
63'
L. Ranger · Assist: F. Elkaer
Lillestrom
🔄
64'
Y. Paintsil ↔ F. Gulbrandsen
Lillestrom
🔄
64'
M. Karlsbakk ↔ K. Krygard
Lillestrom
🟨
70'
F. Gulbrandsen
Lillestrom
🟨
74'
Y. Ibrahimaj
Lillestrom
🔄
76'
T. Olsen ↔ G. Nordh
Lillestrom
🟨
77'
R. Alte
Viking
🔄
78'
K. Haugen ↔ V. Auklend
Viking
🔄
83'
Felix Va ↔ K. Arierhi
Lillestrom
🔄
84'
Y. Ibrahimaj ↔ H. Woxen
Lillestrom
🔄
89'
P. Christiansen ↔ V. Vevatne
Viking

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.2%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lillestrom Win 42.3%
Draw 12.8%
Viking Win 45%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lillestrom1.54
Viking2.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WWDLW
51 GF / 36 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
53 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
2.52
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
14
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
14
4.58
Shots on Goal
5.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lillestrom Lillestrom 26 matches
Viking Viking 21 matches
Lillestrom Statistic Viking
12 Wins 16
4 Draws 3
10 Losses 2
51 Goals For 53
36 Goals Against 19
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 2.52
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
14 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 1
4.58 Shots On Goal 5.45
13.17 Total Shots 14.91
5.25 Corners 6.09
52.2% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Viking. Viking look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 27 points while Lillestrom sit 4 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Viking in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control.

Lillestrom Analysis

With 22 points from 12 games and a place of 4, Lillestrom still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 19:11 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Markus Karlsbakk (4 goals), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (3 goals), Salieu Drammeh (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Vá (5 assists), Salieu Drammeh (1 assists), Thomas Lehne Olsen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Viking Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 27 points from 11 games, Viking bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a 29:11 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Peter Christiansen (6 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), Zlatko Tripić (3 goals), with creative support from Zlatko Tripić (11 assists), Peter Christiansen (2 assists), Henrik Heggheim (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 2 times, Viking won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:30 from Lillestrom's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.54 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: Lillestrom 4-2-3-1 / Viking 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Lillestrom 3, Viking 4
H2H summary: Lillestrom wins 2, draws 2, Viking wins 9
Stats
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Viking Viking
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 9
17 Fouls 20
0 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 0
504 Total passes 433
392 Passes accurate 334
0.58 expected_goals 0.79
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lillestrom
Formation
Viking
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ruben Gabrielsen
Frederik Elkær
🎯
Frederik Elkær
Ylldren Ibrahimaj
Ylldren Ibrahimaj
Yaw Paintsil
Yaw Paintsil
Markus Karlsbakk
Markus Karlsbakk
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
Felix Vá
Felix Vá
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Ľubomír Belko
Ľubomír Belko
Henrik Heggheim
Henrik Heggheim
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness
Anders Baertelsen
Anders Baertelsen
Kristoffer Haugen
Kristoffer Haugen
Joe Bell
Joe Bell
Zlatko Tripić
Zlatko Tripić
Kristoffer Askildsen
Kristoffer Askildsen
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Edvin Austbø
🎯
Edvin Austbø
Peter Christiansen
Peter Christiansen
Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
Pontus Dahlberg
G
2
Lars Ranger
⚽ 63'
D
4
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås
D
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
D
11
Frederik Elkær
🎯 63'
D
29
Ylldren Ibrahimaj
↓ 84' 🟨 74'
M
26
Yaw Paintsil
↓ 64'
M
8
Markus Karlsbakk
↓ 64'
M
14
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
M
20
Felix Vá
↓ 83'
M
10
Thomas Lehne Olsen
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
18
Kevin Martin Krygard
↑ 64'
M
77
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
↑ 64' 🟨 70'
F
15
Gustav Nordh
↑ 76'
F
9
Kparobo Arierhi
↑ 83'
F
6
Harald Woxen
↑ 84'
M
1
Stephan Hagerup
G
3
Sturla Ottesen
D
5
Sander Moen Foss
D
47
Stian Kristiansen
D
Viking 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
Ľubomír Belko
G
5
Henrik Heggheim
↓ 46' 🟨 25'
D
6
Gianni Stensness
D
21
Anders Baertelsen
🟨 62'
D
28
Kristoffer Haugen
↓ 78'
D
8
Joe Bell
M
10
Zlatko Tripić
↓ 62' 🟨 58'
M
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
⚽ 31'
M
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
M
17
Edvin Austbø
🎯 31' ↓ 63'
M
20
Peter Christiansen
⚽ 55' ↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
18
Sondre Flem Bjørshol
↑ 46'
D
23
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad
↑ 62'
F
16
Ruben Alte
↑ 63' 🟨 77'
M
24
Vetle Auklend
↑ 78'
D
3
Viljar Vevatne
↑ 89'
D
1
Arild Østbø
G
2
Herman Johan Haugen
D
29
Tobias Moi
M
15
Ola Visted
M
Last matches: Lillestrom
20.08.26
UEF
Lillestrom
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0
0
D
15.08.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
09.08.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
31.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
25.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
20.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Valerenga
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Molde
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
0
1
L
Last matches: Viking
18.08.26
UEF
Viking
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
14.08.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
1
2
L
08.08.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
01.08.26
Eli
Viking
Start
3
0
W
26.07.26
Eli
Viking
Aalesund
1
1
D
18.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sandefjord
2
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Viking
Start
6
3
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
3
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
18.04.26
Eli
Viking
Brann
3
2
W
11.04.26
Eli
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Viking
Haugesund
3
0
W
21.03.26
Eli
Viking
Molde
4
1
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fri
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
W
H2H: Lillestrom vs Viking
22.07.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
29.09.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
4
L
16.05.24
H2H
Viking
Lillestrom
1
4
W
13.08.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
3
L
15.04.23
H2H
Viking
Lillestrom
2
0
L
26.02.23
H2H
Viking
Lillestrom
2
2
D
09.10.22
H2H
Viking
Lillestrom
0
3
W
10.07.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
0
1
L
23.10.21
H2H
Viking
Lillestrom
5
1
L
11.09.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
0
0
D
24.05.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
3
L
16.05.21
H2H
Viking
Lillestrom
0
0
D
03.11.19
H2H
Viking
Lillestrom
3
0
L
16.06.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
0
2
L
06.08.17
H2H
Viking
Lillestrom
2
2
D
Last matches: Lillestrom
09.08.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
03.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
24.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Kongsvinger
2
4
L
17.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Haugesund
7
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
07.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
7
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stabaek
1
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
1
2
L
H2H at home: Lillestrom
22.07.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
29.09.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
4
L
13.08.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
3
L
10.07.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
0
1
L
11.09.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
0
0
D
24.05.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
3
L
16.06.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
0
2
L
Last matches: Viking
18.08.26
UEF
Viking
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
14.08.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
1
2
L
01.08.26
Eli
Viking
Start
3
0
W
26.07.26
Eli
Viking
Aalesund
1
1
D
12.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Viking
Tromso
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Viking
Molde
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Viking
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Viking
Djurgardens IF
3
2
W
13.08.25
UEF
Viking
Başakşehir
1
1
D
31.07.25
UEF
Viking
Koper
5
3
W
H2H away: Viking
22.07.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
W
29.09.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
4
W
13.08.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
3
W
10.07.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
0
1
W
11.09.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
0
0
D
24.05.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
1
3
W
16.06.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Viking
0
2
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 43:12 31 41
W W W W W
2 17 13 1 3 40:17 23 40
L W W D W
3 17 10 4 3 34:20 14 34
L W W W D
4 17 8 3 6 32:26 6 27
W L D W L
5 17 8 2 7 23:21 2 26
D L L L W
6 17 8 1 8 36:27 9 25
W W L W W
7 17 7 3 7 25:22 3 24
W W L W W
8 17 7 2 8 18:27 -9 23
W W W L L
9 17 6 4 7 20:23 -3 22
L L D W D
10 17 6 4 7 24:30 -6 22
L D W L L
11 17 6 3 8 28:34 -6 21
D L L W W
12 17 5 4 8 19:27 -8 19
D W W L L
13 17 5 3 9 15:23 -8 18
W L L L L
14 17 4 3 10 15:27 -12 15
L W L L D
15 17 2 9 6 27:41 -14 15
D D L D L
16 17 2 4 11 16:38 -22 10
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Lillestrom 3 missing
-
E. Kitolano
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
L. Alperud
Questionable Ankle Injury
OUT
-
C. Jebara
Questionable Injury
OUT
Viking 4 missing
-
H. Falchener
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
M. Roseth
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
V. Berisha
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
R. Postema
Questionable Injury
OUT