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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
20.05.2026 17:00
Åråsen
Referee: Sivert Amland, Norway
Lillestrom
Match Timeline
Kristiansund BK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
A. Ronning · Assist: H. Bruseth
Kristiansund BK
🔄
17'
H. Bruseth ↔ N. Odegard
Kristiansund BK
🟨
40'
Harald Woxen
Lillestrom
🟨
45+5'
Harald Woxen
Lillestrom
🟨
45+2'
Lars Ranger
Lillestrom
🟥
45+5'
Harald Woxen
Lillestrom
🔄
46'
S. Foss ↔ E. B. Garnas
Lillestrom
🔄
46'
G. Nyheim ↔ Y. Ibrahimaj
Lillestrom
🔄
46'
C. Jebara ↔ L. Alperud
Lillestrom
⚽
55'
S. Drammeh · Assist: Y. Paintsil
Lillestrom
⚽
56'
L. Alvheim · Assist: A. Munksgaard
Kristiansund BK
🔄
60'
J. Isaksen ↔ M. Isah
Kristiansund BK
🟨
62'
Wilfred George Igor
Kristiansund BK
VAR
68'
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås
Lillestrom
🟥
69'
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås
Lillestrom
🔄
71'
Felix Va ↔ S. Ottesen
Lillestrom
🟨
75'
Sander Hestetun Kilen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
79'
S. Kilen ↔ H. Magnusson
Kristiansund BK
🔄
79'
A. Ronning ↔ P. Meliga
Kristiansund BK
🟨
82'
Michael Lansing
Kristiansund BK
🟨
83'
Niklas Odegard
Kristiansund BK
🔄
88'
Y. Paintsil ↔ K. Arierhi
Lillestrom
🟨
90+4'
Mustapha Isah
Kristiansund BK

Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 38.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 46.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
38.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
46.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lillestrom Win 78.9%
Draw 0%
Kristiansund BK Win 21.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lillestrom1.72
Kristiansund BK1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WWDLW
41 GF / 26 GA
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WLDWL
15 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.16
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
10
BTTS Yes
6
11
Over 2.5
4
4.67
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lillestrom Lillestrom 19 matches
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 16 matches
Lillestrom Statistic Kristiansund BK
9 Wins 4
4 Draws 6
6 Losses 6
41 Goals For 15
26 Goals Against 17
2.16 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
10 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 4
10 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 8
4.67 Shots On Goal 3.88
12.89 Total Shots 11.38
4.78 Corners 4
51.1% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Lillestrom's more proactive style and Kristiansund BK's more cautious structure. Kristiansund BK seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kristiansund BK. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Kristiansund BK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kristiansund BK having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Lillestrom arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 19 points compared to Kristiansund BK in 12 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Lillestrom Analysis

Lillestrom approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 19 points after 9 outings. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 16:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Karlsbakk (4 goals), T. Olsen (3 goals), Felix Va (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Va (4 assists), T. Olsen (1 assists), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. Although they are without E. Kitolano, T. Olsen, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

Kristiansund BK are currently 12 in the standings with 8 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 7:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Meliga (3 goals), Leander Alvheim (2 goals), M. Isah (1 goals), with creative support from Heine Gikling Bruseth (1 assists), S. Kilen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with H. Opsahl, D. Tufekcic, M. Williamsen unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 3 times, Kristiansund BK won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:19 from Lillestrom's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Lillestrom 4-1-4-1 / Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lillestrom 3, Kristiansund BK 4
H2H summary: Lillestrom wins 3, draws 4, Kristiansund BK wins 6

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 22 11 6 5 41:30 11 39
D W L L D
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 22 8 5 9 26:33 -7 29
D D D L W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen