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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
21.07.2026 21:30
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Referee: Gorky Stalin Araujo Zambrano, Ecuador
Libertad
Match Timeline
Delfin SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Bryan Caicedo
Libertad
🟨
36'
Eber Caicedo
Delfin SC
🔄
37'
B. Caicedo ↔ S. Castro
Libertad
🔄
58'
D. Coronel ↔ G. J. Cortez Casierra
Libertad
🔄
58'
J. Bravo ↔ X. E. Pineda Arana
Libertad
🟨
65'
Gabriel Cortez
Libertad
🔄
65'
K. Ushina ↔ M. Reyes
Delfin SC
🔄
65'
T. Ozaeta ↔ J. Arce
Delfin SC
⚽
72'
O. Quinonez · Assist: G. J. Cortez Casierra
Libertad
🟨
74'
Maikel Reyes
Delfin SC
🔄
75'
E. Patta ↔ C. Gruezo
Libertad
🔄
75'
A. Chere ↔ E. Caicedo
Libertad
🔄
88'
J. Morocho ↔ L. Castro
Delfin SC
🔄
88'
F. Ayunta ↔ E. Yepez
Delfin SC

Libertad vs Delfin SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Libertad Win 33.9%
Draw 33.3%
Delfin SC Win 32.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad0.9
Delfin SC0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad Libertad
WWDLW
18 GF / 26 GA
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WLDWL
14 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
10
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
5
3.3
Shots on Goal
3.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Libertad Libertad 20 matches
Delfin SC Delfin SC 21 matches
Libertad Statistic Delfin SC
5 Wins 7
6 Draws 5
9 Losses 9
18 Goals For 14
26 Goals Against 19
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
10 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 9
3.3 Shots On Goal 3.35
10.4 Total Shots 10.8
3.6 Corners 3.35
45.9% Ball Possession 38.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Delfin SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Libertad expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Delfin SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Delfin SC having the stronger overall control.

Libertad Analysis

With 18 points from 18 games and a place of 15, Libertad still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 17:25, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (4 goals), G. Cortéz (3 goals), Ivan Zambrano (3 goals), with creative support from G. Cortéz (3 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 20 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats with a 11:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Erick Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), F. Ayunta (1 goals), with creative support from F. Ayunta (1 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 2 times, Delfin SC won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Libertad's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.88 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (67.3%)
Predicted formations: Libertad 5-3-2 / Delfin SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Libertad wins 2, draws 3, Delfin SC wins 3

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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