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06.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Referee: C. Benitez
Libertad Asuncion
Match Timeline
Rubio NU
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
16'
Elvio Vera
Libertad Asuncion
⚽
26'
A. Manzur
Libertad Asuncion
⚽
37'
J. Vallejos · Assist: R. Rojas
Rubio NU
⚽
43'
E. Vera
Libertad Asuncion
⚽
45+1'
Estiven Pérez
Rubio NU
🟨
46'
Cristian Núñez
Rubio NU
🔄
46'
M. Garrone ↔ W. Mendieta
Rubio NU
🔄
46'
A. Ledesma ↔ T. Leiva
Rubio NU
🟨
47'
Victor Cabañas
Rubio NU
🔄
62'
A. Manzur ↔ L. Sanabria
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
63'
E. Perez ↔ R. Ruiz Diaz
Rubio NU
🔄
63'
E. Alfonso ↔ S. Fretes
Rubio NU
⚽
67'
E. Vera
Libertad Asuncion
⚽
70'
E. Vera · Assist: A. Benitez
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
71'
I. Franco ↔ G. Aguilar
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
71'
I. Ramirez ↔ M. Fernandez
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
72'
R. Rojas ↔ L. Montiel
Rubio NU
🔄
81'
A. Campuzano ↔ C. Martinez
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
81'
E. Vera ↔ J. Bogarin
Libertad Asuncion
VAR
87'
Brian Blasi
Rubio NU
🟨
89'
Robert Rojas
Libertad Asuncion
⚽
90'
W. Mendieta
Rubio NU

Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio NU Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.66
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.6%
1.66 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.3%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Libertad Asuncion Win 79.6%
Draw 5.4%
Rubio NU Win 15%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad Asuncion1.38
Rubio NU1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
WWDLW
50 GF / 48 GA
Rubio NU Rubio NU
WLDWL
24 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
17
BTTS Yes
9
18
Over 2.5
10
4.44
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 36 matches
Rubio NU Rubio NU 30 matches
Libertad Asuncion Statistic Rubio NU
14 Wins 8
5 Draws 7
17 Losses 15
50 Goals For 24
48 Goals Against 41
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
17 BTTS Yes 9
23 Over 1.5 19
18 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 15
4.44 Shots On Goal 3.33
12.58 Total Shots 10.9
4.56 Corners 3.83
52.9% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Libertad Asuncion's more proactive style and Rubio NU's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rubio NU. Libertad Asuncion arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 15 points compared to Rubio NU in 11 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Libertad Asuncion come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Libertad Asuncion Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 15 points from 6 games, Libertad Asuncion bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 11:5, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Ramirez (1 goals), A. Benítez (1 goals), Matías Espinoza (1 goals), with creative support from I. Ramirez (2 assists), Á. Campuzano (2 assists), A. Benítez (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Rubio NU Analysis

Rubio NU approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 5 points from 7 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz (1 goals), Marcelo Acosta (1 goals), Kevin Paredes (1 goals), with creative support from Javier Fleitas (1 assists), William Mendieta (1 assists), Sergio Fretes (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 3 times, Rubio NU won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from Libertad Asuncion's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Libertad Asuncion 4-4-2 / Rubio NU 4-4-2
H2H summary: Libertad Asuncion wins 3, draws 3, Rubio NU wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 22:10 12 26
D W W W W
2 13 8 2 3 21:14 7 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 4 2 16:13 3 25
W D L L W
4 13 6 5 2 20:8 12 23
D D W W L
5 13 7 2 4 23:13 10 23
W W L W L
6 13 5 6 2 14:10 4 21
D W W D W
7 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
L D D W W
8 13 5 2 6 15:14 1 17
L L W D W
9 13 4 1 8 14:24 -10 13
L L W L L
10 13 3 3 7 15:24 -9 12
W D L L L
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 3 10 4:22 -18 3
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)