COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui
Leones FC
Live Timeline
Real Cartagena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
C. Rodriguez Cespedes
Leones FC
18'
E. Lopez
Real Cartagena
🟨
22'
Leones FC
Leones FC
🟨
24'
O. Segura
Leones FC
🟨
29'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.5%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Leones FC Win 19%
Draw 20.6%
Real Cartagena Win 60.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leones FC0.81
Real Cartagena1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leones FC Leones FC
WWDLW
12 GF / 26 GA
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WLDWL
42 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
7
BTTS Yes
16
7
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leones FC Leones FC 19 matches
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 27 matches
Leones FC Statistic Real Cartagena
4 Wins 13
6 Draws 8
9 Losses 6
12 Goals For 42
26 Goals Against 29
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
7 BTTS Yes 16
12 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 13
2 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Real Cartagena's more proactive style and Leones FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Real Cartagena carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 44 points while Leones FC sit 14 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Cartagena having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Real Cartagena.

Leones FC Analysis

Leones FC sit 14 with 17 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 11:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Cartagena Analysis

Real Cartagena come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 44 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 40:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leones FC won 6 times, Real Cartagena won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Leones FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81%)
H2H summary: Leones FC wins 6, draws 5, Real Cartagena wins 4
Last matches: Leones FC
20.08.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
06.08.26
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
0
W
03.08.26
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Orsomarso
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Patriotas
0
1
L
25.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Barranquilla
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Popayan
1
2
L
11.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Envigado
0
3
L
03.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Depor FC
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
3
2
W
14.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
0
2
L
05.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
0
3
L
26.01.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Real Cartagena
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
07.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
5
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
26.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
2
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
23.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
4
0
W
H2H: Leones FC vs Real Cartagena
21.02.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
2
3
W
18.08.25
H2H
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
4
0
L
17.02.25
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
22.09.24
H2H
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
1
0
L
20.04.24
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
11.11.23
H2H
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
1
1
D
16.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
2
1
W
11.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
13.05.23
H2H
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
2
2
D
16.07.22
H2H
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
0
1
W
02.06.22
H2H
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
0
1
W
17.05.22
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
10.03.22
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
1
0
W
28.11.21
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
3
2
W
13.11.21
H2H
Real Cartagena
Leones FC
3
3
D
Last matches: Leones FC
20.08.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
03.08.26
Pri
Leones FC
Quindio
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
11.03.26
Pri
Leones FC
Envigado
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
05.02.26
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
1
1
D
26.01.26
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
0
0
D
18.10.25
Pri
Leones FC
Depor FC
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Huila
1
2
L
20.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Patriotas
0
1
L
05.09.25
Pri
Leones FC
Jaguares
0
1
L
25.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Real Santander
1
1
D
11.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Tigres FC
1
1
D
04.08.25
Pri
Leones FC
Barranquilla
2
2
D
19.07.25
Pri
Leones FC
Orsomarso
0
1
L
17.05.25
Pri
Leones FC
Bogota FC
3
0
W
05.05.25
Pri
Leones FC
Jaguares
1
3
L
26.04.25
Pri
Leones FC
Cucuta
0
1
L
H2H at home: Leones FC
17.02.25
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
16.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
2
1
W
11.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
17.05.22
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
10.03.22
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
1
0
W
28.11.21
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
3
2
W
Last matches: Real Cartagena
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
29.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
0
3
L
27.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0
0
D
13.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
27.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
03.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Tigres FC
0
0
D
09.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
1
0
W
04.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
23.01.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
1
0
W
24.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
0
0
D
17.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Cundinamarca
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
2
2
D
27.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
0
0
D
10.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
29.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Jaguares
1
2
L
16.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
1
3
L
01.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Huila
1
0
W
H2H away: Real Cartagena
17.02.25
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
W
20.04.24
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
16.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
2
1
L
11.10.23
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
W
17.05.22
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
10.03.22
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
1
0
L
28.11.21
H2H
Leones FC
Real Cartagena
3
2
L