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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
15.10.2026 22:15
Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui

Leones FC vs Patriotas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leones FC Win 13.9%
Draw 26.2%
Patriotas Win 59.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leones FC0.9
Patriotas1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leones FC Leones FC
WWDLW
16 GF / 41 GA
Patriotas Patriotas
WLDWL
30 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
11
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leones FC Leones FC 26 matches
Patriotas Patriotas 26 matches
Leones FC Statistic Patriotas
4 Wins 9
8 Draws 7
14 Losses 10
16 Goals For 30
41 Goals Against 34
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
11 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Patriotas. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Patriotas having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Leones FC Analysis

Leones FC sit 16 with 19 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 15:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Patriotas Analysis

Patriotas sit 10 with 34 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats with a 30:34 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Leones FC won 1 times, Patriotas won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Leones FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (86.1%)
H2H summary: Leones FC wins 1, draws 2, Patriotas wins 4

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 40:28 12 59
L W W W L
2 32 16 9 7 33:21 12 57
W W L L D
3 34 15 11 8 46:31 15 56
D D W D D
4 35 15 11 9 55:41 14 56
D L D D L
5 32 15 8 9 45:31 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 12 10 11 33:27 6 46
D W D W D
7 27 11 10 6 29:21 8 43
D W W L W
8 32 9 11 12 28:35 -7 38
D L W D L
9 26 9 9 8 33:29 4 36
W W W W W
10 32 9 8 15 37:43 -6 35
D L L L L
11 26 9 7 10 30:34 -4 34
L L L W W
12 26 7 10 9 33:34 -1 31
D W W W W
13 26 6 9 11 20:28 -8 27
L D L D L
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 26 4 8 14 16:41 -25 20
D L L D L
16 26 3 10 13 22:41 -19 19
L D D L D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)