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MEXICO › LIGA MX
18.07.2026 01:00
Estadio Leon
Referee: Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle, Mexico
Leon
Match Timeline
Atlas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
Duk
Atlas
⚽
27'
D. Cambindo
Leon
🟥
42'
D. Cambindo
Leon
🔄
46'
J. Rodriguez ↔ M. Valenzuela
Atlas
⚽
50'
A. Gonzalez · Assist: Gustavo Ferrareis
Atlas
🔄
55'
S. Santos ↔ J. Cortizo
Leon
🔄
56'
D. Arcila ↔ E. Guerra
Leon
🔄
56'
I. Diaz ↔ A. Alvarado
Leon
🔄
58'
A. Gonzalez ↔ L. Esteves
Atlas
🔄
64'
E. Zaldivar ↔ V. H. Rios De Alba
Atlas
🟨
73'
R. Echeverria
Leon
⚽
73'
A. Rocha
Atlas
🔄
74'
R. Echeverria ↔ L. Valadez
Leon
⚽
77'
J. Cortizo · Assist: A. Alvarado
Leon
🔄
82'
I. Moreno ↔ F. Beltran Cruz
Leon
🟨
84'
M. Capasso
Atlas
🟨
85'
A. Rocha
Atlas
🔄
89'
Duk ↔ J. Lozano
Atlas
🟨
90+9'
A. Alvarado
Leon

Leon vs Atlas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 65.1%
Draw 4.4%
Atlas Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon2.33
Atlas1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon Leon
WWDLW
12 GF / 8 GA
Atlas Atlas
WLDWL
4 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
0.67
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leon Leon 4 matches
Atlas Atlas 6 matches
Leon Statistic Atlas
2 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
12 Goals For 4
8 Goals Against 8
3 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
3 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 8 times, Atlas won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:17 from Leon's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Leon 4-1-4-1 / Atlas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 8, draws 3, Atlas wins 4

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 23:12 11 20
D L W W W
2 9 6 2 1 21:10 11 20
W D L W W
3 10 5 3 2 17:10 7 18
L D W W D
4 9 5 2 2 13:8 5 17
W D W W L
5
Leon Home
10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W D W L D
6
Atlas Away
10 5 2 3 16:17 -1 17
W D L D L
7 10 5 1 4 19:18 1 16
D L W W W
8 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
L D L W L
9 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
L D L W L
10 9 4 1 4 16:14 2 13
L W D L L
11 10 3 3 4 15:11 4 12
L D W W D
12 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L D L W L
13 10 3 3 4 14:18 -4 12
W W L L W
14 10 2 5 3 12:15 -3 11
W D L D D
15 10 2 4 4 10:13 -3 10
W L D D D
16 10 3 1 6 10:15 -5 10
W W W L D
17 10 2 2 6 12:20 -8 8
L L L D L
18 10 1 0 9 7:25 -18 3
L W L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)