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POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
11.10.2026 18:15
Stadion Wojska Polskiego

Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Legia Warszawa Win 62.9%
Draw 9.3%
Wisla Krakow Win 27.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Legia Warszawa1.83
Wisla Krakow1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
WWDLW
52 GF / 25 GA
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
WLDWL
40 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2.17
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
17
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
12
4.78
Shots on Goal
5.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 24 matches
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 22 matches
Legia Warszawa Statistic Wisla Krakow
15 Wins 9
8 Draws 7
1 Losses 6
52 Goals For 40
25 Goals Against 29
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
17 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 12
12 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 4
4.78 Shots On Goal 5.56
15.33 Total Shots 19
4.56 Corners 5.78
49.4% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wisla Krakow. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Legia Warszawa expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Wisla Krakow in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wisla Krakow having the stronger overall control.

Legia Warszawa Analysis

Placed 2 with 19 points from 9 outings, Legia Warszawa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, while the 19:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Augustyniak (4 goals), Ł. Zjawiński (3 goals), B. Kapustka (2 goals), with creative support from P. Wszołek (4 assists), Rúben Vinagre (3 assists), R. Augustyniak (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Wisla Krakow Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 17 points from 9 games, Wisla Krakow bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 17:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Jordi Sánchez (6 goals), Ángel Rodado (4 goals), A. Uryga (2 goals), with creative support from Jordi Sánchez (1 assists), A. Uryga (1 assists), M. Božić (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Legia Warszawa won 4 times, Wisla Krakow won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Legia Warszawa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: Legia Warszawa 3-4-2-1 / Wisla Krakow 4-5-1
H2H summary: Legia Warszawa wins 4, draws 2, Wisla Krakow wins 2

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
7 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D L L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation