Leganes vs Castellón Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
96.3%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
1.93 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.6%
|
1.30 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
34.00 |
Leganes
Castellón
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Leganes
15 matches
Castellón
12 matches
| Leganes | Statistic | Castellón |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 15 | Goals For | 20 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 5.33 |
| 10.33 | Total Shots | 14.67 |
| 2.67 | Corners | 5.67 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 62.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leganes expected to line up in 3-2-4-1 and Castellón in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Castellón having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Castellón. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Castellón look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Castellón carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 16 points while Leganes sit 7 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Leganes are currently 7 in the standings with 11 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 6:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Naim García (2 goals), Ismaël Gharbi (2 goals), P. Soko (1 goals), with creative support from Naim García (1 assists), Ismaël Gharbi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Castellón approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 16 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 12:2 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Ousmane Camara (4 goals), Pablo Santiago (2 goals), Barri (1 goals), with creative support from Ousmane Camara (1 assists), Pablo Santiago (1 assists), Barri (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Leganes won 0 times, Castellón won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:5 from Leganes's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:7 | 11 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Castellón
Away
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:3 | 12 | 20 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 8 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 13 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 |
Leganes
Home
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 7 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
L
|