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POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
20.09.2026 18:15
Stadion Poznan
Referee: Jaroslaw Przybyl, Poland
Lech Poznan
Match Timeline
Radomiak Radom
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
Guilherme Luiz · Assist: R. Baro
Radomiak Radom
⚽
3'
P. Rodriguez · Assist: J. Pereira
Lech Poznan
🟨
6'
Ché Nunnely
Radomiak Radom
⚽
9'
P. Walemark
Lech Poznan
🟨
14'
Luquinhas
Radomiak Radom
⚽
41'
A. Sayyadmanesh · Assist: M. Ishak
Lech Poznan
🔄
46'
R. Baro ↔ R. Wolski
Radomiak Radom
🔄
46'
Luquinhas ↔ I. Camara
Radomiak Radom
⚽
51'
P. Walemark
Lech Poznan
🟨
60'
Joel Pereira
Lech Poznan
🔄
62'
F. Jagiello ↔ L. Palma
Lech Poznan
🔄
62'
M. Ishak ↔ Y. Agnero
Lech Poznan
🔄
67'
C. Nunnely ↔ Manu
Radomiak Radom
⚽
67'
P. Rodriguez · Assist: P. Walemark
Lech Poznan
🔄
70'
P. Walemark ↔ L. Bengtsson
Lech Poznan
🔄
70'
A. Sayyadmanesh ↔ D. Hakans
Lech Poznan
🔄
73'
Guilherme Luiz ↔ F. Goure
Radomiak Radom
🔄
74'
C. Donis ↔ R. Alves
Radomiak Radom
🔄
81'
J. Pereira ↔ R. Gumny
Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.36 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.40 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.80 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Lech Poznan Win 88%
Draw 6%
Radomiak Radom Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lech Poznan2.03
Radomiak Radom1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
WWDLW
42 GF / 20 GA
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
WLDWL
33 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
2.21
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
9
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
16
6.71
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 19 matches
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 21 matches
Lech Poznan Statistic Radomiak Radom
13 Wins 7
2 Draws 4
4 Losses 10
42 Goals For 33
20 Goals Against 37
2.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
9 BTTS Yes 15
15 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 4
6.71 Shots On Goal 4.13
13.93 Total Shots 15
6.5 Corners 6.25
49.1% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Lech Poznan's more proactive style and Radomiak Radom's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Lech Poznan arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 16 points compared to Radomiak Radom in 12 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Radomiak Radom. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lech Poznan expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Radomiak Radom in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Radomiak Radom having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Lech Poznan come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Lech Poznan Analysis

Lech Poznan come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 16 points after 7 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 12:6, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Sayyadmanesh (4 goals), L. Palma (1 goals), Antoni Kozubal (1 goals), with creative support from Pablo Rodríguez (3 assists), L. Palma (2 assists), P. Wålemark (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Radomiak Radom Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Radomiak Radom have collected 8 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 6:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Grzesik (1 goals), R. Wolski (1 goals), I. Camará (1 goals), with creative support from J. Grzesik (1 assists), Luquinhas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Lech Poznan won 5 times, Radomiak Radom won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:11 from Lech Poznan's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Lech Poznan 4-4-2 / Radomiak Radom 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Lech Poznan wins 5, draws 5, Radomiak Radom wins 1

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
7 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D L L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation