POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA

26.04.2026 15:30

Lech Poznan

4 - 0

Legia Warszawa

Stadion Poznan

Referee: P. Lasyk

Lech Poznan

Match Timeline

Legia Warszawa

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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VAR

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Lech Poznan vs Legia Warszawa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 62.5%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 72.9%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 66.8%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	62.5%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	72.9%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.8%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Lech Poznan Win 62.5%

Draw 4.5%

Legia Warszawa Win 33%

Expected Goals (xG)

Lech Poznan1.58

Legia Warszawa1.35

Recent Form (Last 5)

Lech Poznan

WWDLW

82 GF / 64 GA

Legia Warszawa

WLDWL

56 GF / 52 GA

Key Stats

1.82

Average Goals Scored

1.3

1.42

Average Goals Conceded

1.21

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.44

Shots on Goal

3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lech Poznan 45 matches

Legia Warszawa 43 matches

Lech Poznan	Statistic	Legia Warszawa
22	Wins	15
12	Draws	15
11	Losses	13
82	Goals For	56
64	Goals Against	52
1.82	Avg Goals Scored	1.3
1.42	Avg Goals Conceded	1.21
32	BTTS Yes	28
36	Over 1.5	31
30	Over 2.5	21
19	Over 3.5	11
12	Clean Sheets	10
4	Failed To Score	8
5.44	Shots On Goal	3.86
15.02	Total Shots	13.02
4.91	Corners	4.93
51.5%	Ball Possession	45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lech Poznan won 5 times, Legia Warszawa won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from Lech Poznan's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)

Predicted formations: Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1 / Legia Warszawa 5-3-2

H2H summary: Lech Poznan wins 5, draws 6, Legia Warszawa wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Lech Poznan Home	34	16	12	6	62:45	17	60	D W D W W
2	Gornik Zabrze	34	16	8	10	50:38	12	56	W W D L W
3	Jagiellonia	34	15	11	8	56:41	15	56	W D W W L
4	Raków Częstochowa	34	16	7	11	51:40	11	55	W W L W W
5	GKS Katowice	34	14	8	12	51:45	6	50	D D D W D
6	Legia Warszawa Away	34	12	13	9	42:37	5	49	W W W W L
7	Zaglebie Lubin	34	13	9	12	45:38	7	48	L L W D L
8	Wisla Plock	34	12	10	12	34:38	-4	46	D L L L L
9	Pogon Szczecin	34	13	6	15	47:49	-2	45	D W L W D
10	Radomiak Radom	34	11	11	12	52:53	-1	44	L L D W W
11	Korona Kielce	34	11	10	13	40:40	0	43	D W L D D
12	Motor Lublin	34	10	13	11	46:53	-7	43	L D W L L
13	Cracovia Krakow	34	9	15	10	39:42	-3	42	D D D D D
14	Widzew Łódź	34	12	6	16	41:41	0	42	W L W L W
15	Piast Gliwice	34	11	8	15	42:46	-4	41	L L D D W
16	Lechia Gdansk	34	12	7	15	62:65	-3	38	L L L L L
17	Arka Gdynia	34	9	9	16	34:61	-27	36	L L D D L
18	Nieciecza	34	9	7	18	43:65	-22	34	W W L L W

Champions League Qualification

Conference League Qualification

Relegation