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POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
03.09.2026 18:30
Enea Poznań
Referee: Szymon Marciniak, Poland
Lech Poznan
Match Timeline
Jagiellonia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
43'
P. Rodriguez · Assist: J. Pereira
Lech Poznan
⚽
45'
Y. Kobayashi · Assist: B. Vital
Jagiellonia
🔄
46'
Y. Kobayashi ↔ G. Montoia
Jagiellonia
🔄
59'
S. Lozano ↔ A. Klynge
Jagiellonia
🔄
59'
O. Sow ↔ K. Szmyt
Jagiellonia
🔄
63'
G. Berggren ↔ F. Jagiello
Lech Poznan
🔄
64'
A. Sayyadmanesh ↔ Y. Agnero
Lech Poznan
🔄
68'
E. Kozlowski ↔ H. Finndell
Jagiellonia
🔄
72'
L. Palma ↔ L. Bengtsson
Lech Poznan
🔄
73'
P. Rodriguez ↔ M. Ishak
Lech Poznan
🟨
80'
Patrik Wålemark
Lech Poznan
🟨
80'
Rodrigo Conceição
Jagiellonia
🔄
82'
N. Prelec ↔ Y. Sylla
Jagiellonia
🔄
83'
P. Walemark ↔ R. Gumny
Lech Poznan
VAR
87'
Wojciech Mońka
Lech Poznan
⚽
87'
R. Gumny · Assist: M. Gurgul
Lech Poznan
🟨
90+2'
Hampus Finndell
Jagiellonia

Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 44.5%
Odds 1.66
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
44.5%
1.66 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.42 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.15 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Lech Poznan Win 44.5%
Draw 16.9%
Jagiellonia Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lech Poznan1.87
Jagiellonia1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
WWDLW
38 GF / 13 GA
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
WLDWL
31 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.53
Average Goals Scored
1.82
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
7
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
9
7.5
Shots on Goal
5.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 15 matches
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 17 matches
Lech Poznan Statistic Jagiellonia
11 Wins 12
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
38 Goals For 31
13 Goals Against 15
2.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
7 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 2
7.5 Shots On Goal 5.38
12.5 Total Shots 7.75
6.9 Corners 3.5
49.1% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lech Poznan won 7 times, Jagiellonia won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:17 from Lech Poznan's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1 / Jagiellonia 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Lech Poznan wins 7, draws 4, Jagiellonia wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 9 5 0 4 20:14 6 15
W W L L W
6 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
7 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
8 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
9 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 9 3 2 4 9:15 -6 11
L W W D L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 14:17 -3 8
W D L D L
14 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
15 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
16 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
17 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
18 10 1 0 9 13:25 -12 3
L L L W L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation