Lecce
Match Timeline
Monza
Lecce vs Monza Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
91.8%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
2.32 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.52 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.50 |
Probability Distribution
Lecce Win 43.2%
Draw 8.2%
Monza Win 48.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce1.49
Monza1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lecce
WWDLW
11 GF / 12 GA
Monza
WLDWL
18 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.89
2
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
6
3.75
Shots on Goal
5.2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lecce
9 matches
Monza
9 matches
| Lecce | Statistic | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 11 | Goals For | 18 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.89 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.75 | Shots On Goal | 5.2 |
| 11.75 | Total Shots | 15.8 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 44.5% | Ball Possession | 47.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Lecce won 4 times, Monza won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Lecce's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Lecce 4-3-3 / Monza 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Lecce 2, Monza 5
H2H summary: Lecce wins 4, draws 5, Monza wins 1
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 12 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 |
Lecce
Home
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Monza
Away
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
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