FRANCE LIGUE 2
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Marie-Marvingt
Referee: P. Gaillouste
Le Mans
Match Timeline
Reims
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
M. Gbane · Assist: T. Leoni
Reims
36'
S. Yohou · Assist: A. Lauray
Le Mans
🟨
55'
Sergio Akieme
Reims
🔄
64'
D. Gueye ↔ A. Rabillard
Le Mans
🔄
65'
E. Quarshie ↔ A. Bourabaa
Le Mans
🔄
65'
Zabi ↔ Y. Benhattab
Reims
🔄
65'
T. Diarra ↔ J. Patrick
Reims
🔄
79'
E. Colas ↔ W. Harhouz
Le Mans
🔄
79'
A. Lauray ↔ M. Rossignol
Le Mans
🔄
83'
T. Leoni ↔ A. Tia
Reims
🔄
84'
M. Busi ↔ H. Sekine
Reims
🔄
84'
M. Daramy ↔ A. Bojang
Reims
🔄
90'
H. Voyer ↔ I. Cossier
Le Mans

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
50%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Le Mans Win 54.9%
Draw 0%
Reims Win 45.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Le Mans1.2
Reims1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Le Mans Le Mans
WWDLW
52 GF / 37 GA
Reims Reims
WLDWL
61 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
19
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
18
4.08
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Le Mans Le Mans 37 matches
Reims Reims 38 matches
Le Mans Statistic Reims
16 Wins 17
16 Draws 14
5 Losses 7
52 Goals For 61
37 Goals Against 34
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
19 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 12
15 Clean Sheets 19
8 Failed To Score 9
4.08 Shots On Goal 5
10.69 Total Shots 13.5
5.36 Corners 5.11
48.9% Ball Possession 57.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Le Mans expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Reims in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Reims having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Reims.

Le Mans Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 58 points from 32 games, Le Mans bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 15 wins, 13 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 47:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Gueye (10 goals), A. Rabillard (9 goals), E. Colas (5 goals), with creative support from A. Rabillard (5 assists), Lucas Calodat (4 assists), D. Gueye (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Reims Analysis

Reims come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 52 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 13 draws, and 6 losses, while the 47:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Nakamura (10 goals), H. Ibrahim (6 goals), A. Tia (5 goals), with creative support from Theo Leoni (6 assists), T. Teuma (5 assists), Sergio Akieme (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Le Mans won 0 times, Reims won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:12 from Le Mans's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Le Mans 3-1-4-2 / Reims 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Le Mans wins 0, draws 3, Reims wins 4
Stats
Le Mans Le Mans
Reims Reims
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 2
16 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 7
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
391 Total passes 468
300 Passes accurate 375
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Le Mans
Formation
Reims
E. Hatfout
E. Hatfout
N. Boisse
N. Boisse
S. Yohou
S. Yohou
H. Voyer
H. Voyer
A. Lauray
🎯
A. Lauray
L. Buades
L. Buades
L. Bretelle
L. Bretelle
E. Quarshie
E. Quarshie
L. Calodat
L. Calodat
D. Gueye
D. Gueye
E. Colas
E. Colas
E. Jaouen
E. Jaouen
M. Busi
M. Busi
A. Kone
A. Kone
S. Kotto
S. Kotto
S. Akieme
S. Akieme
M. Gbane
M. Gbane
T. Leoni
🎯
T. Leoni
T. Diarra
T. Diarra
Zabi
Zabi
M. Daramy
M. Daramy
K. Nakamura
K. Nakamura
Le Mans 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Hatfout
G
31
N. Boisse
D
17
S. Yohou
⚽ 36'
D
5
H. Voyer
↓ 90'
D
8
A. Lauray
🎯 36' ↓ 79'
M
18
L. Buades
M
29
L. Bretelle
6
E. Quarshie
↓ 65'
M
22
L. Calodat
M
25
D. Gueye
↓ 64'
F
28
E. Colas
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
55
A. Delbecque
G
12
A. Ribelin
D
20
W. Harhouz
↑ 79'
F
3
I. Cossier
↑ 90'
D
11
A. Bourabaa
↑ 65'
F
9
A. Rabillard
↑ 64'
F
27
M. Rossignol
↑ 79'
M
Reims 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
29
E. Jaouen
G
4
M. Busi
↓ 84'
D
92
A. Kone
D
22
S. Kotto
D
18
S. Akieme
🟨 55'
D
24
M. Gbane
⚽ 20'
M
6
T. Leoni
🎯 20' ↓ 83'
M
7
T. Diarra
↓ 65'
M
86
Zabi
↓ 65'
M
9
M. Daramy
↓ 84'
M
17
K. Nakamura
F
Substitutes
20
A. Olliero
G
90
Y. Benhattab
↑ 65'
F
30
J. Patrick
↑ 65'
M
3
H. Sekine
↑ 84'
D
27
A. Bojang
↑ 84'
F
28
Elie
D
87
A. Tia
↑ 83'
M
Last matches: Le Mans
09.05.26
Lig
Le Mans
Bastia
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Le Mans
Grenoble
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Le Mans
Clermont Foot
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Le Mans
Boulogne
0
0
D
06.04.26
Lig
Le Mans
PAU
4
0
W
20.03.26
Lig
Le Mans
Amiens
4
3
W
13.03.26
Lig
Le Mans
Nancy
4
2
W
07.03.26
Lig
Le Mans
Annecy
3
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
RED Star FC 93
0
0
D
23.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
Guingamp
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
Montpellier
2
4
L
07.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
Laval
1
1
D
03.02.26
Cou
Le Mans
Reims
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Estac Troyes
2
0
W
26.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Dunkerque
1
0
W
16.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Rodez
1
1
D
11.01.26
Cou
Le Mans
Nancy
0
0
D
03.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
19.12.25
Cou
Le Mans
Périgny
2
1
W
12.12.25
Lig
Le Mans
Annecy
2
1
W
Last matches: Reims
09.05.26
Lig
Reims
PAU
5
3
W
25.04.26
Lig
Reims
Nancy
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Reims
RED Star FC 93
3
2
W
10.04.26
Lig
Reims
Laval
2
2
D
04.04.26
Lig
Reims
Boulogne
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lig
Reims
Guingamp
2
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Reims
Rodez
1
2
L
09.03.26
Lig
Reims
Dunkerque
1
1
D
03.03.26
Cou
Reims
Strasbourg
1
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
Reims
Montpellier
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
Reims
Amiens
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Reims
Grenoble
0
0
D
06.02.26
Lig
Reims
Bastia
0
0
D
03.02.26
Cou
Reims
Le Mans
3
0
W
30.01.26
Lig
Reims
Clermont Foot
1
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Reims
Saint Etienne
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
Reims
Estac Troyes
1
2
L
10.01.26
Cou
Reims
Le Puy Foot
0
0
D
03.01.26
Lig
Reims
Annecy
2
1
W
19.12.25
Cou
Reims
Croix Football IC
4
0
W
H2H: Le Mans vs Reims
02.05.26
H2H
Le Mans
Reims
1
1
D
03.02.26
H2H
Reims
Le Mans
3
0
L
30.08.25
H2H
Reims
Le Mans
1
0
L
19.03.12
H2H
Le Mans
Reims
0
1
L
21.10.11
H2H
Reims
Le Mans
1
1
D
15.01.11
H2H
Reims
Le Mans
3
0
L
13.08.10
H2H
Le Mans
Reims
2
2
D
Last matches: Le Mans
17.04.26
Lig
Le Mans
Clermont Foot
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lig
Le Mans
PAU
4
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Le Mans
Annecy
3
0
W
23.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
Guingamp
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lig
Le Mans
Laval
1
1
D
26.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Dunkerque
1
0
W
11.01.26
Cou
Le Mans
Nancy
0
0
D
03.01.26
Lig
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
05.12.25
Lig
Le Mans
Amiens
1
0
W
08.11.25
Lig
Le Mans
RED Star FC 93
0
0
D
31.10.25
Lig
Le Mans
Nancy
1
0
W
24.10.25
Lig
Le Mans
Boulogne
1
0
W
03.10.25
Lig
Le Mans
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
23.09.25
Lig
Le Mans
Grenoble
1
0
W
12.09.25
Lig
Le Mans
Rodez
0
1
L
22.08.25
Lig
Le Mans
Bastia
1
0
W
18.08.25
Lig
Le Mans
Montpellier
1
2
L
18.12.19
Cou
Le Mans
Paris Saint Germain
1
4
L
30.10.19
Cou
Le Mans
Nice
3
2
W
27.08.19
Cou
Le Mans
Orleans
2
2
D
H2H at home: Le Mans
02.05.26
H2H
Le Mans
Reims
1
1
D
19.03.12
H2H
Le Mans
Reims
0
1
L
13.08.10
H2H
Le Mans
Reims
2
2
D
Last matches: Reims
10.04.26
Lig
Reims
Laval
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Reims
Guingamp
2
0
W
09.03.26
Lig
Reims
Dunkerque
1
1
D
03.03.26
Cou
Reims
Strasbourg
1
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
Reims
Montpellier
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Reims
Grenoble
0
0
D
30.01.26
Lig
Reims
Clermont Foot
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
Reims
Estac Troyes
1
2
L
10.01.26
Cou
Reims
Le Puy Foot
0
0
D
19.12.25
Cou
Reims
Croix Football IC
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lig
Reims
RED Star FC 93
0
0
D
29.11.25
Cou
Reims
Torcy
5
1
W
15.11.25
Cou
Reims
OCPAM
1
0
W
07.11.25
Lig
Reims
Bastia
3
1
W
28.10.25
Lig
Reims
Boulogne
6
2
W
17.10.25
Lig
Reims
Rodez
2
2
D
26.09.25
Lig
Reims
Nancy
1
0
W
20.09.25
Lig
Reims
Saint Etienne
2
3
L
13.09.25
Lig
Reims
Annecy
1
1
D
25.08.25
Lig
Reims
PAU
0
2
L
H2H away: Reims
02.05.26
H2H
Le Mans
Reims
1
1
D
19.03.12
H2H
Le Mans
Reims
0
1
W
13.08.10
H2H
Le Mans
Reims
2
2
D

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6
Reims Away
34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation