Login Register
ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
24.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Referee: Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar, Ecuador
LDU de Quito
Match Timeline
Emelec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
J. Corozo · Assist: Y. Quinonez
LDU de Quito
🟨
16'
Stalin Valencia
Emelec
⚽
18'
L. Segovia · Assist: Deyverson
LDU de Quito
VAR
21'
Deyverson
LDU de Quito
🔄
36'
S. Valencia ↔ J. Ruiz
Emelec
🟥
45+6'
Janner Corozo
LDU de Quito
VAR
45+6'
Janner Corozo
LDU de Quito
🔄
46'
V. Griffith ↔ G. Napoli
Emelec
🔄
46'
L. Fragozo ↔ L. Klimowicz
Emelec
🔄
59'
A. Mina ↔ F. Pizzini
Emelec
🔄
69'
A. Alvarado ↔ F. Cornejo
LDU de Quito
🔄
69'
Deyverson ↔ M. Estrada
LDU de Quito
🟨
76'
Luis Gomez
Emelec
🔄
80'
L. Gomez ↔ R. Saya
Emelec
🔄
81'
J. Rodriguez ↔ S. Gonzalez Baquero
LDU de Quito
🔄
90+2'
J. Carabali ↔ R. Ade
LDU de Quito

LDU de Quito vs Emelec Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
LDU de Quito Win 52.7%
Draw 21.2%
Emelec Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
LDU de Quito1.1
Emelec0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WWDLW
38 GF / 29 GA
Emelec Emelec
WLDWL
21 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.84
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
12
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
5
3.42
Shots on Goal
3.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 36 matches
Emelec Emelec 25 matches
LDU de Quito Statistic Emelec
16 Wins 8
9 Draws 8
11 Losses 9
38 Goals For 21
29 Goals Against 29
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
12 BTTS Yes 10
21 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
14 Clean Sheets 9
14 Failed To Score 9
3.42 Shots On Goal 3.24
13.55 Total Shots 10.28
5.15 Corners 4.28
48.3% Ball Possession 43.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Emelec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Emelec. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

LDU de Quito Analysis

LDU de Quito are currently 6 in the standings with 35 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 23:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Michael Estrada (5 goals), Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), Michael Estrada (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Emelec Analysis

Emelec are currently 13 in the standings with 29 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, while the 21:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luca Klimowicz (6 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (2 goals), Juan Ruiz Gómez (2 goals), with creative support from Francisco Pizzini (3 assists), Luis Fragozo (2 assists), Angelo Mina (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 7 times, Emelec won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.8%)
Predicted formations: LDU de Quito 4-2-3-1 / Emelec 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: LDU de Quito wins 7, draws 3, Emelec wins 5

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Liga Pro (Relegation Group)