LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
85.1%
|
1.67 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
1.92 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.22 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
LDU de Quito
41 matches
Deportivo Cuenca
31 matches
| LDU de Quito | Statistic | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 12 |
| 10 | Draws | 5 |
| 13 | Losses | 14 |
| 44 | Goals For | 28 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.9 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.32 | Shots On Goal | 3.69 |
| 13.45 | Total Shots | 13.24 |
| 5.18 | Corners | 4.76 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 50.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Deportivo Cuenca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo Cuenca in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cuenca having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Operating from 5 place with 45 points from 29 games, LDU de Quito bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 30:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Estrada (6 goals), Deyverson (4 goals), Yerlin Quinonez (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), M. Estrada (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Deportivo Cuenca sit 11 with 35 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 24:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Ordoñez (5 goals), Matías Klimowicz (3 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), G. Rivero (2 assists), C. Arboleda (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 6 times, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:16 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
LDU de Quito
Home
|
30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 |
Deportivo Cuenca
Away
|
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|