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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
13.09.2026 00:00
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Referee: Lenin Quinonez, Ecuador
LDU de Quito
Match Timeline
Deportivo Cuenca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
44'
Patricio Boolsen
Deportivo Cuenca
⚽
52'
Deyverson
LDU de Quito
🔄
56'
M. Klimowicz ↔ C. Benalcazar
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
57'
K. Velasco ↔ R. Mina
LDU de Quito
🟨
70'
Ruddy Mina
LDU de Quito
🔄
70'
A. Alvarado ↔ F. Cornejo
LDU de Quito
🔄
70'
R. Mina ↔ J. Pretell
LDU de Quito
🔄
70'
S. Gonzalez Baquero ↔ L. Rodriguez
LDU de Quito
🔄
72'
M. Diaz ↔ R. Ibarra
Deportivo Cuenca
⚽
73'
E. Guevara · Assist: C. Arboleda
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
84'
C. Arboleda ↔ J. Mejia
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
85'
J. Rodriguez ↔ M. Estrada
LDU de Quito

LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.92
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.1%
1.67 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.92 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
LDU de Quito Win 85.1%
Draw 7.5%
Deportivo Cuenca Win 7.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
LDU de Quito1.13
Deportivo Cuenca0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WWDLW
44 GF / 33 GA
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WLDWL
28 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
14
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
11
3.32
Shots on Goal
3.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 41 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 31 matches
LDU de Quito Statistic Deportivo Cuenca
18 Wins 12
10 Draws 5
13 Losses 14
44 Goals For 28
33 Goals Against 38
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
14 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 4
16 Clean Sheets 8
16 Failed To Score 10
3.32 Shots On Goal 3.69
13.45 Total Shots 13.24
5.18 Corners 4.76
49.3% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Deportivo Cuenca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo Cuenca in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cuenca having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

LDU de Quito Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 45 points from 29 games, LDU de Quito bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 30:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Estrada (6 goals), Deyverson (4 goals), Yerlin Quinonez (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), M. Estrada (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

Deportivo Cuenca sit 11 with 35 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 24:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Ordoñez (5 goals), Matías Klimowicz (3 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), G. Rivero (2 assists), C. Arboleda (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 6 times, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:16 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.5%)
Predicted formations: LDU de Quito 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Cuenca 4-5-1
H2H summary: LDU de Quito wins 6, draws 7, Deportivo Cuenca wins 2

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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