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11.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado

LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
LDU de Quito Win 68.5%
Draw 12.4%
Barcelona SC Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
LDU de Quito1.08
Barcelona SC0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WWDLW
50 GF / 37 GA
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WLDWL
42 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.95
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
0.98
17
BTTS Yes
19
12
Over 2.5
15
3.44
Shots on Goal
3.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 44 matches
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 44 matches
LDU de Quito Statistic Barcelona SC
20 Wins 16
11 Draws 13
13 Losses 15
50 Goals For 42
37 Goals Against 43
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 0.98
17 BTTS Yes 19
27 Over 1.5 27
12 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 3
16 Clean Sheets 15
16 Failed To Score 14
3.44 Shots On Goal 3.53
13.63 Total Shots 12.3
5.29 Corners 4.23
50.3% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Barcelona SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barcelona SC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Barcelona SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

LDU de Quito Analysis

Placed 5 with 46 points from 30 outings, LDU de Quito continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, while the 31:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Estrada (6 goals), Deyverson (5 goals), Yerman Quinonez (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerman Quinonez (2 assists), M. Estrada (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Barcelona SC Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Barcelona SC have collected 44 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 32:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Benedetto (5 goals), J. Quiñónez (3 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), with creative support from T. Martínez (2 assists), D. Benedetto (1 assists), J. Quiñónez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: LDU de Quito 3-4-1-2 / Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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