WORLD UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Windsor Park
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad, Norway
Larne
Match Timeline
Tre Fiori
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
P. Mengucci · Assist: M. Prandelli
Tre Fiori
25'
M. Ridley · Assist: R. Doherty
Larne
🟨
32'
Alessandro D'Addario
Tre Fiori
🟨
49'
Tom Syku
Tre Fiori
🟨
53'
Conor McKendry
Larne
🟨
58'
Simone Rea
Tre Fiori
🔄
58'
M. Gibson ↔ K. O'Hara
Larne
🔄
58'
C. McKendry ↔ J. McEneff
Larne
🔄
59'
A. D'Addario ↔ M. Ben Kacem
Tre Fiori
🔄
59'
M. Prandelli ↔ G. Ponticelli
Tre Fiori
🟨
63'
Simone Rea
Tre Fiori
🟥
63'
Simone Rea
Tre Fiori
🟨
67'
Nico Manara
Tre Fiori
69'
D. Bent
Larne
🔄
72'
N. Manara ↔ T. L. Bernardi
Tre Fiori
🔄
76'
R. Doherty ↔ D. Sloan
Larne
🔄
80'
M. Lusty ↔ P. O'Neill
Larne
🔄
80'
S. Graham ↔ J. Simpson
Larne
🔄
83'
R. Bertani ↔ L. Censoni
Tre Fiori
🔄
83'
P. Mengucci ↔ L. Terenzi
Tre Fiori
🟨
90'
Tommaso Bernardi
Tre Fiori
🟨
90'
Giulio Ponticelli
Tre Fiori
🟨
90'
Tommaso Bernardi
Tre Fiori
🟥
90'
Tommaso Bernardi
Tre Fiori

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.2%
-
BTTS No
71.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Larne Win 63.2%
Draw 23.7%
Tre Fiori Win 13.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Larne1
Tre Fiori0.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Larne Larne
WWDLW
4 GF / 1 GA
Tre Fiori Tre Fiori
WLDWL
0 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0
0.25
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Larne Larne 4 matches
Tre Fiori Tre Fiori 1 matches
Larne Statistic Tre Fiori
3 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
4 Goals For 0
1 Goals Against 1
1 Avg Goals Scored 0
0.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 0
1 Over 1.5 0
1 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Larne won 2 times, Tre Fiori won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Larne's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Larne 4-3-3 / Tre Fiori 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Larne wins 2, draws 0, Tre Fiori wins 0
Stats
Larne Larne
Tre Fiori Tre Fiori
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
0
5 Corner Kicks 1
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 4
0 Blocked Shots 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 2 🟥

Lineups

Larne
Formation
Tre Fiori
R. Ferguson
R. Ferguson
T. Cosgrove
T. Cosgrove
D. Bent
D. Bent
M. Ridley
M. Ridley
A. Donnelly
A. Donnelly
C. Gallagher
C. Gallagher
R. Doherty
🎯
R. Doherty
S. Graham
S. Graham
C. McKendry
C. McKendry
M. Gibson
M. Gibson
M. Lusty
M. Lusty
M. Nardi
M. Nardi
A. D'Addario
A. D'Addario
T. Syku
T. Syku
S. Rea
S. Rea
M. Sancisi
M. Sancisi
B. Sami
B. Sami
R. Bertani
R. Bertani
F. Benedettini
F. Benedettini
N. Manara
N. Manara
P. Mengucci
P. Mengucci
M. Prandelli
🎯
M. Prandelli
Larne 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
R. Ferguson
G
23
T. Cosgrove
D
26
D. Bent
⚽ 69'
M
3
M. Ridley
⚽ 25'
D
4
A. Donnelly
D
6
C. Gallagher
M
15
R. Doherty
🎯 25' ↓ 76'
M
11
S. Graham
↓ 80'
D
7
C. McKendry
↓ 58' 🟨 53'
M
45
M. Gibson
↓ 58'
F
30
M. Lusty
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
31
D. Collett
G
36
D. Graham
G
2
L. Wallace
D
9
P. O'Neill
↑ 80'
F
14
B. Magee
M
17
J. Ukek
M
19
K. O'Hara
↑ 58'
22
J. McEneff
↑ 58'
M
25
D. Sloan
↑ 76'
M
47
J. Simpson
↑ 80'
M
Tre Fiori 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
17
M. Nardi
G
2
A. D'Addario
↓ 59'
6
T. Syku
🟨 49'
D
5
S. Rea
🟨 58' 🟨 63' 🟥 63'
D
3
M. Sancisi
D
4
B. Sami
M
29
R. Bertani
↓ 83'
M
20
F. Benedettini
M
76
N. Manara
↓ 72' 🟨 67'
F
24
P. Mengucci
⚽ 11' ↓ 83'
D
9
M. Prandelli
🎯 11' ↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
25
A. Castagnoli
G
8
L. Censoni
↑ 83'
M
10
T. L. Bernardi
↑ 72' 🟨 90' 🟨 90' 🟥 90'
F
12
F. Pesaresi
D
16
F. Dolcini
M
23
A. Sirri
D
27
M. Ben Kacem
↑ 59'
28
L. Terenzi
↑ 83'
D
99
G. Ponticelli
↑ 59' 🟨 90'
D
Last matches: Larne
27.08.26
UEF
Larne
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0
3
L
20.08.26
UEF
Larne
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2
0
W
11.08.26
UEF
Larne
Saburtalo
1
2
L
04.08.26
UEF
Larne
Saburtalo
0
0
D
29.07.26
UEF
Larne
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
5
L
21.07.26
UEF
Larne
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
4
L
07.07.26
UEF
Larne
Tre Fiori
1
0
W
29.06.26
Fri
Larne
H&W Welders
2
1
W
23.06.26
Fri
Larne
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
0
W
20.06.26
Fri
Larne
Stranraer
0
0
D
14.08.25
UEF
Larne
Santa Clara
0
0
D
07.08.25
UEF
Larne
Santa Clara
0
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Larne
Prishtina
1
1
D
24.07.25
UEF
Larne
Prishtina
0
0
D
16.07.25
UEF
Larne
Auda
2
2
D
10.07.25
UEF
Larne
Auda
0
0
D
Last matches: Tre Fiori
13.08.26
UEF
Tre Fiori
Drita
0
5
L
06.08.26
UEF
Tre Fiori
Drita
1
4
L
29.07.26
Fri
Tre Fiori
Forli
1
3
L
07.07.26
UEF
Tre Fiori
Larne
0
1
L
17.07.25
UEF
Tre Fiori
Pyunik Yerevan
0
5
L
10.07.25
UEF
Tre Fiori
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
H2H: Larne vs Tre Fiori
14.07.26
H2H
Larne
Tre Fiori
2
1
W
07.07.26
H2H
Tre Fiori
Larne
0
1
W
Last matches: Larne
27.08.26
UEF
Larne
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0
3
L
04.08.26
UEF
Larne
Saburtalo
0
0
D
21.07.26
UEF
Larne
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
4
L
23.06.26
Fri
Larne
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Larne
Santa Clara
0
3
L
24.07.25
UEF
Larne
Prishtina
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Larne
Auda
0
0
D
H2H at home: Larne
14.07.26
H2H
Larne
Tre Fiori
2
1
W
Last matches: Tre Fiori
13.08.26
UEF
Tre Fiori
Drita
0
5
L
17.07.25
UEF
Tre Fiori
Pyunik Yerevan
0
5
L
H2H away: Tre Fiori
14.07.26
H2H
Larne
Tre Fiori
2
1
L