FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
2 - 3
Lahden Stadion
Referee: J. Hyytia
Lahti
Match Timeline
SJK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
K. Paananen
SJK
🟨
12'
Momodou Sarr
Lahti
25'
O. Koskinen · Assist: Y. Cassubie
Lahti
🔄
46'
O. Vaisto ↔ S. Chukwudi
SJK
54'
A. Lindholm · Assist: C. Montiel
Lahti
🔄
57'
M. Suso ↔ O. Tessilimi
SJK
🔄
57'
Caio Araujo ↔ A. Wilson
SJK
🟨
63'
Markus Arsalo
SJK
🔄
70'
M. Arsalo ↔ E. Mastokangas
SJK
🔄
71'
O. Koskinen ↔ E. Andersson
Lahti
🔄
71'
A. Lindholm ↔ Neemias
Lahti
🟨
74'
Yohan Cassubie
Lahti
🔄
75'
J. Moisio ↔ Rangel
SJK
🔄
77'
A. Belabid ↔ J. Ojanen
Lahti
🟨
79'
Romaric Yapi
Lahti
79'
O. Tessilimi · Assist: R. Paunio
SJK
🔄
84'
T. Inkinen ↔ R. Sans
Lahti
🔄
84'
C. Montiel ↔ D. Heikkinen
Lahti
90'
O. Tessilimi
SJK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lahti Win 85%
Draw 7.5%
SJK Win 7.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lahti1.39
SJK1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lahti Lahti
WWDLW
19 GF / 15 GA
SJK SJK
WLDWL
14 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
9
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
1.67
Shots on Goal
1.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lahti Lahti 13 matches
SJK SJK 14 matches
Lahti Statistic SJK
4 Wins 3
5 Draws 5
4 Losses 6
19 Goals For 14
15 Goals Against 18
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
9 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 6
1.67 Shots On Goal 1.67
5.44 Total Shots 4.22
2.44 Corners 1.78
29.8% Ball Possession 17.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Lahti's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SJK. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and SJK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SJK having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Lahti arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 11 points compared to SJK in 11 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Lahti Analysis

So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 11 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 12:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on A. Belabid (2 goals), M. Sarr (2 goals), Martim Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Tòfol Montiel (2 assists), R. Sans (2 assists), A. Belabid (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

SJK Analysis

So far, SJK have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 6 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 8:14 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by J. Streng (2 goals), E. Mastokangas (1 goals), E. Onuoha (1 goals), with creative support from E. Mastokangas (2 assists), S. Yussif (2 assists), K. Paananen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 5 times, SJK won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:25 from Lahti's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Lahti 4-3-3 / SJK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lahti wins 5, draws 6, SJK wins 4
Stats
Lahti Lahti
SJK SJK
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 3
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 6
6 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 8
7 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
482 Total passes 314
370 Passes accurate 230
2.40 expected_goals 2.52
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lahti
Formation
SJK
O. Maukonen
O. Maukonen
R. Yapi
R. Yapi
N. Gianini Dantas
N. Gianini Dantas
V. Vehkonen
V. Vehkonen
T. Inkinen
T. Inkinen
C. Montiel
🎯
C. Montiel
Y. Cassubie
🎯
Y. Cassubie
O. Koskinen
O. Koskinen
M. Sarr
M. Sarr
A. Lindholm
A. Lindholm
A. Belabid
A. Belabid
R. Paunio
🎯
R. Paunio
J. Moisio
J. Moisio
O. Vaisto
O. Vaisto
S. Yakubu
S. Yakubu
E. Mommo
E. Mommo
M. Arsalo
M. Arsalo
E. Onuoha
E. Onuoha
Caio Araujo
Caio Araujo
K. Paananen
K. Paananen
J. Streng
J. Streng
M. Suso
M. Suso
Lahti 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
O. Maukonen
G
27
R. Yapi
🟨 79'
D
5
N. Gianini Dantas
D
6
V. Vehkonen
D
25
T. Inkinen
↓ 84'
D
8
C. Montiel
🎯 54' ↓ 84'
M
18
Y. Cassubie
🎯 25' 🟨 74'
M
10
O. Koskinen
⚽ 25' ↓ 71'
M
77
M. Sarr
🟨 12'
F
9
A. Lindholm
⚽ 54' ↓ 71'
F
17
A. Belabid
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
12
A. Hakala
G
14
E. Andersson
↑ 71'
M
3
R. Sans
↑ 84'
D
21
M. Vainionpaa
D
20
J. Ojanen
↑ 77'
F
28
A. Kabashi
M
19
Neemias
↑ 71'
F
4
J. Muller
D
7
D. Heikkinen
↑ 84'
M
SJK 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
R. Paunio
🎯 79'
G
26
J. Moisio
↓ 75'
D
5
O. Vaisto
↓ 46'
D
32
S. Yakubu
D
15
E. Mommo
D
18
M. Arsalo
↓ 70' 🟨 63'
M
31
E. Onuoha
M
42
Caio Araujo
↓ 57'
10
K. Paananen
⚽ 2'
F
9
J. Streng
F
47
M. Suso
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
35
J. Viitala
G
19
E. Mastokangas
↑ 70'
M
28
S. Chukwudi
↑ 46'
D
33
A. Machaal
M
17
O. Tessilimi
⚽ 79' ⚽ 90' ↑ 57'
F
99
Rangel
↑ 75'
D
8
A. Bostrom
M
23
A. Wilson
↑ 57'
M
43
S. Bagayogo
Last matches: Lahti
23.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
0
1
L
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
04.05.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
25.02.26
Fri
Lahti
GrIFK
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Lahti
Haka
1
1
D
Last matches: SJK
27.06.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
SJK
VPS
1
2
L
30.05.26
Vei
SJK
Gnistan
2
3
L
23.05.26
Vei
SJK
AC Oulu
0
1
L
16.05.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
SJK
FF Jaro
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
SJK
Mariehamn
3
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fri
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
18.03.26
Fri
SJK
FF Jaro
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
SJK
Gnistan
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
SJK
Turku PS
1
1
D
17.07.25
UEF
SJK
KI Klaksvik
0
2
L
10.07.25
UEF
SJK
KI Klaksvik
1
2
L
H2H: Lahti vs SJK
13.06.26
H2H
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
27.07.24
H2H
SJK
Lahti
5
5
D
27.05.24
H2H
Lahti
SJK
0
4
L
16.07.23
H2H
Lahti
SJK
1
1
D
22.04.23
H2H
SJK
Lahti
0
0
D
24.07.22
H2H
Lahti
SJK
1
3
L
07.05.22
H2H
SJK
Lahti
1
2
W
26.09.21
H2H
SJK
Lahti
4
1
L
04.07.21
H2H
Lahti
SJK
2
1
W
23.09.20
H2H
SJK
Lahti
0
1
W
08.07.20
H2H
Lahti
SJK
0
0
D
08.02.20
H2H
SJK
Lahti
2
3
W
19.10.19
H2H
SJK
Lahti
0
0
D
26.07.19
H2H
SJK
Lahti
0
2
W
05.05.19
H2H
Lahti
SJK
1
1
D
Last matches: Lahti
23.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
0
0
D
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
25.02.26
Fri
Lahti
GrIFK
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Lahti
Haka
1
1
D
H2H at home: Lahti
13.06.26
H2H
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
27.05.24
H2H
Lahti
SJK
0
4
L
16.07.23
H2H
Lahti
SJK
1
1
D
24.07.22
H2H
Lahti
SJK
1
3
L
04.07.21
H2H
Lahti
SJK
2
1
W
08.07.20
H2H
Lahti
SJK
0
0
D
05.05.19
H2H
Lahti
SJK
1
1
D
Last matches: SJK
27.06.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
SJK
Gnistan
2
3
L
08.05.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
18.04.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
0
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
14.03.26
Fri
SJK
Gnistan
3
1
W
17.07.25
UEF
SJK
KI Klaksvik
0
2
L
H2H away: SJK
13.06.26
H2H
Lahti
SJK
2
3
W
27.05.24
H2H
Lahti
SJK
0
4
W
16.07.23
H2H
Lahti
SJK
1
1
D
24.07.22
H2H
Lahti
SJK
1
3
W
04.07.21
H2H
Lahti
SJK
2
1
L
08.07.20
H2H
Lahti
SJK
0
0
D
05.05.19
H2H
Lahti
SJK
1
1
D

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 6 1 21:12 9 27
D D D D W
2 14 7 6 1 23:15 8 27
W W D D W
3 13 8 1 4 19:14 5 25
L W D W W
4 13 6 4 3 25:13 12 22
W D W W L
5 12 5 5 2 16:10 6 20
W W D L W
6 12 5 3 4 18:16 2 18
D W W W L
7 12 4 4 4 12:11 1 16
D L L W L
8 14 4 4 6 24:27 -3 16
D L W W L
9
Lahti Home
12 3 3 6 14:14 0 12
D L L W L
10
SJK Away
13 2 5 6 15:21 -6 11
D D L W L
11 13 1 5 7 11:28 -17 8
D L L L W
12 12 0 4 8 6:23 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)