FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Lahden Stadion
Referee: D. Antamo
Lahti
Match Timeline
Inter Turku
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Antoin Loic Essomba
Inter Turku
61'
Alie Conteh
Inter Turku
🟨
65'
Osku Maukonen
Lahti
66'
J. Yli-Kokko
Inter Turku
🔄
69'
E. Andersson ↔ O. Koskinen
Lahti
🔄
71'
H. Salomaa ↔ J. Tuominen
Inter Turku
🔄
71'
J. Yli-Kokko ↔ V. Ulundu
Inter Turku
🔄
72'
A. Conteh ↔ J. Botue
Inter Turku
🔄
77'
Neemias ↔ A. Lindholm
Lahti
🔄
77'
Martim Augusto ↔ A. Belabid
Lahti
🔄
81'
R. Yapi ↔ J. Lehtonen
Lahti
🔄
88'
L. Essomba ↔ L. Kuittinen
Inter Turku
🟨
90+4'
Prosper Ahiabu
Inter Turku
90'
J. Niska · Assist: J. Tuominen
Inter Turku

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Lahti Win 43.5%
Draw 0%
Inter Turku Win 56.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lahti1.3
Inter Turku0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lahti Lahti
WWDLW
9 GF / 7 GA
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WLDWL
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
1
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lahti Lahti 6 matches
Inter Turku Inter Turku 6 matches
Lahti Statistic Inter Turku
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
9 Goals For 5
7 Goals Against 6
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 3
1 Shots On Goal 3.5
3 Total Shots 10.5
1.5 Corners 6.5
21.5% Ball Possession 65.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Inter Turku's more proactive style and Lahti's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Inter Turku. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Inter Turku in 4-2-4, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter Turku having the stronger overall control.

Lahti Analysis

Lahti are currently 7 in the standings with 3 points from 2 matches. The record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 2:2 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Sarr (2 goals), with creative support from R. Sans (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 4 points from 2 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 2:1 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Conteh (1 goals), I. Kangasniemi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Laine (1 assists), L. Essomba (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 2 times, Inter Turku won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:32 from Lahti's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Lahti 4-3-3 / Inter Turku 4-2-4
H2H summary: Lahti wins 2, draws 3, Inter Turku wins 10
Stats
Lahti Lahti
Inter Turku Inter Turku
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 7
9 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 1
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 11
6 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
346 Total passes 278
270 Passes accurate 204
1.01 expected_goals 1.86
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lahti
Formation
Inter Turku
O. Maukonen
O. Maukonen
R. Yapi
R. Yapi
N. Gianini Dantas
N. Gianini Dantas
J. Muller
J. Muller
R. Sans
R. Sans
Y. Cassubie
Y. Cassubie
E. Andersson
E. Andersson
M. Sarr
M. Sarr
C. Montiel
C. Montiel
Martim Augusto
Martim Augusto
Neemias
Neemias
E. Huuhtanen
E. Huuhtanen
A. Granlund
A. Granlund
J. Hamalainen
J. Hamalainen
I. Kangasniemi
I. Kangasniemi
J. Niska
J. Niska
P. Ahiabu
P. Ahiabu
J. Laine
J. Laine
L. Essomba
L. Essomba
J. Yli-Kokko
J. Yli-Kokko
H. Salomaa
H. Salomaa
A. Conteh
A. Conteh
Lahti 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
O. Maukonen
🟨 65'
G
27
R. Yapi
↓ 81'
D
5
N. Gianini Dantas
D
4
J. Muller
D
3
R. Sans
D
18
Y. Cassubie
M
14
E. Andersson
↓ 69'
M
77
M. Sarr
M
8
C. Montiel
M
11
Martim Augusto
↓ 77'
M
19
Neemias
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
12
A. Hakala
G
2
J. Lehtonen
↑ 81'
D
10
O. Koskinen
↑ 69'
M
9
A. Lindholm
↑ 77'
F
17
A. Belabid
↑ 77'
M
28
A. Kabashi
M
6
V. Vehkonen
D
7
D. Heikkinen
M
25
T. Inkinen
D
Inter Turku 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Huuhtanen
G
5
A. Granlund
D
3
J. Hamalainen
D
21
I. Kangasniemi
2
J. Niska
⚽ 90'
D
4
P. Ahiabu
🟨 90+4'
M
14
J. Laine
M
23
L. Essomba
↓ 88'
8
J. Yli-Kokko
⚽ 66' ↓ 71'
M
25
H. Salomaa
↓ 71'
M
10
A. Conteh
↓ 72'
Substitutes
12
E. Vuorjoki
G
9
J. Tuominen
🎯 90' ↑ 71'
M
18
S. Saarinen
D
11
J. Botue
↑ 72'
F
26
V. Huovila
M
35
E. Kiiskila
M
22
L. Kuittinen
↑ 88'
M
27
V. Ulundu
↑ 71'
M
Last matches: Lahti
27.06.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
0
1
L
13.06.26
Vei
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
04.05.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
10.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
25.02.26
Fri
Lahti
GrIFK
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Lahti
Haka
1
1
D
Last matches: Inter Turku
27.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
2
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
13.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
30.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Turku PS
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
09.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
0
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
29.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
VPS
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
Sirius
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
1
W
04.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
PK-35
0
3
L
H2H: Lahti vs Inter Turku
18.04.26
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
14.02.26
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
0
L
30.09.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
1
L
08.07.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
0
L
07.06.24
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
27.01.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
2
L
30.08.23
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
1
2
L
26.08.23
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
1
L
04.03.23
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
1
D
02.07.22
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
2
1
W
22.06.22
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
5
1
L
30.06.21
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
1
D
03.05.21
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
2
1
W
28.09.20
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
0
L
31.08.20
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
2
2
D
Last matches: Lahti
23.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vei
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
25.02.26
Fri
Lahti
GrIFK
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Lahti
Haka
1
1
D
H2H at home: Lahti
18.04.26
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
07.06.24
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
30.08.23
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
1
2
L
02.07.22
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
2
1
W
03.05.21
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
2
1
W
31.08.20
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
2
2
D
Last matches: Inter Turku
27.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
30.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
Sirius
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
H2H away: Inter Turku
18.04.26
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
W
07.06.24
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
W
30.08.23
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
1
2
W
02.07.22
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
2
1
L
03.05.21
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
2
1
L
31.08.20
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
2
2
D

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 6 1 27:15 12 30
W W W D D
2 15 8 6 1 23:12 11 30
W D D D D
3 14 8 2 4 20:15 5 26
D L W D W
4 14 6 4 4 25:17 8 22
L W D W W
5 13 5 6 2 17:11 6 21
D W W D L
6 13 5 4 4 19:17 2 19
D D W W W
7 13 5 4 4 15:13 2 19
W D L L W
8 14 4 4 6 24:27 -3 16
D L W W L
9
Lahti Home
13 3 4 6 15:15 0 13
D D L L W
10 13 2 5 6 15:21 -6 11
D D L W L
11 14 1 5 8 13:31 -18 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 4 9 6:25 -19 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)