Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Lahti
Ilves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lahti
12 matches
Ilves
13 matches
| Lahti | Statistic | Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 14 | Goals For | 26 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 1.88 | Shots On Goal | 1.89 |
| 6.13 | Total Shots | 5.22 |
| 2.75 | Corners | 1.78 |
| 33.5% | Ball Possession | 19.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Ilves in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ilves having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ilves. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
From their first 7 matches, Lahti have collected 8 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 6:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Sarr (2 goals), Martim Ferreira (2 goals), Neemias Barbosa (1 goals), with creative support from R. Sans (2 assists), Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), D. Heikkinen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 8 matches, Ilves have collected 6 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 11:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Stjopin (3 goals), T. Hytonen (3 goals), G. Bamba (1 goals), with creative support from J. Kilo (3 assists), T. Hytonen (1 assists), M. Rale (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 4 times, Ilves won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:29 from Lahti's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.
Lineups
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
MP
Ilves
Haka
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Ilves II
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 26 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 22 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Ilves
Away
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 24:27 | -3 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 9 |
Lahti
Home
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
| 10 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13:31 | -18 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6:25 | -19 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|