FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
18.09.2026 15:00
Lahden Stadion
Referee: Antti Munukka
Lahti
Match Timeline
FF Jaro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
Martim Ferreira · Assist: Otso Koskinen
Lahti
🟨
35'
Nicolas Gianini Dantas
Lahti
🔄
45'
Abdi Sabriye ↔ Jonathan Lawson
FF Jaro
🟨
62'
Mats Pedersen
FF Jaro
🟨
67'
Romaric Yapi
Lahti
🟨
67'
Gergő Kocsis
FF Jaro
🟨
71'
Jesper Svenungsen Skau
FF Jaro
🔄
73'
Otso Koskinen ↔ Daniel Heikkinen
Lahti
🔄
77'
Ville Vuorinen ↔ Valde Löfs
FF Jaro
🔄
79'
Aaron Lindholm ↔ Amir Belabid
Lahti
🔄
79'
Tofol Montiel ↔ Justus Ojanen
Lahti
🔄
80'
Martim Ferreira ↔ Armend Kabashi
Lahti
🔄
85'
Gergő Kocsis ↔ Kaius Hardén
FF Jaro
🔄
86'
Jim Myrevik ↔ Oliver Isak Kass Kawo
FF Jaro
🔄
86'
Nicolas Gianini Dantas ↔ Vaino Vehkonen
Lahti
🟨
86'
Senne Vits
FF Jaro
🟨
86'
Johan Brunell
FF Jaro
⚽
89'
Valde Löfs
FF Jaro
🟥
90+1'
Romaric Yapi
Lahti

Lahti vs FF Jaro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.60 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
1.81 ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
2.18 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Lahti Win 88%
Draw 6%
FF Jaro Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lahti1.53
FF Jaro0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lahti Lahti
WWDLW
36 GF / 28 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
25 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
15
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
15
2.08
Shots on Goal
1.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lahti Lahti 28 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 29 matches
Lahti Statistic FF Jaro
11 Wins 4
8 Draws 8
9 Losses 17
36 Goals For 25
28 Goals Against 55
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
15 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 24
11 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 12
2.08 Shots On Goal 1.83
6.46 Total Shots 5.08
2.46 Corners 2.04
28.8% Ball Possession 23.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lahti's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FF Jaro in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FF Jaro having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FF Jaro. FF Jaro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Lahti arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 32 points compared to FF Jaro in 11 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Lahti Analysis

Lahti are currently 7 in the standings with 32 points from 22 matches. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 26:19 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Martim Ferreira (1 goals), Y. Cassubie (1 goals), with creative support from Tòfol Montiel (2 assists), Martim Ferreira (1 assists), R. Sans (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro sit 11 with 15 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 18:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on H. Sjögrell (3 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (2 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 3 times, FF Jaro won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Lahti's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Lahti 4-3-3 / FF Jaro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lahti wins 3, draws 1, FF Jaro wins 1

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
W D D L L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D D W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W D D W
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L L L D W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L W
7
Lahti Home
22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
D L W W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W D D D L
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs