ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Laagri kunstmurustaadion
Referee: J. Jaanovits
Laagri
Match Timeline
Trans Narva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
8'
Eriks Santos ↔ A. Skinjov
Trans Narva
🟨
21'
N. Baljabkin
Trans Narva
34'
K. Eerme · Assist: A. Binate
Laagri
🟨
44'
A. Jarve
Laagri
🔄
46'
A. Binate ↔ J. Ndakala
Laagri
🔄
46'
N. Baljabkin ↔ J. Doke
Trans Narva
🔄
59'
K. Kriis ↔ R. Reimaa
Laagri
🔄
60'
A. Ivanyushin ↔ A. Filatov
Trans Narva
63'
K. Eerme · Assist: Rudenko Daniil
Laagri
🔄
73'
M. Kesa ↔ S. Soo
Laagri
🔄
73'
V. Kudriashov ↔ A. Jegorov
Trans Narva
🔄
73'
M. Velijev ↔ A. Besigirskis
Trans Narva
🟨
75'
G. Slein
Trans Narva
🟨
78'
A. Jegorov
Trans Narva
🔄
78'
K. Eerme ↔ A. Kaevats
Laagri
🔄
78'
Rudenko Daniil ↔ R. Sillamaa
Laagri
89'
M. Kelement · Assist: R. Sillamaa
Laagri

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Laagri Win 100%
Draw 0%
Trans Narva Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Laagri1.85
Trans Narva1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Laagri Laagri
WWDLW
31 GF / 32 GA
Trans Narva Trans Narva
WLDWL
22 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
2.29
11
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Laagri Laagri 20 matches
Trans Narva Trans Narva 21 matches
Laagri Statistic Trans Narva
9 Wins 4
3 Draws 4
8 Losses 13
31 Goals For 22
32 Goals Against 48
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 2.29
11 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Trans Narva. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trans Narva having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Laagri Analysis

With 16 points from 13 games and a place of 5, Laagri still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:23 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Eerme (3 goals), K. Kriis (3 goals), A. Binate (2 goals), with creative support from Rudenko Daniil (5 assists), K. Eerme (1 assists), K. Kriis (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Trans Narva Analysis

With 9 points from 13 games and a place of 10, Trans Narva still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 10:34, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through A. Gero (4 goals), S. Agaptsev (2 goals), C. Campagna (1 goals), with creative support from D. Poliakov (3 assists), A. Ivanyushin (2 assists), S. Agaptsev (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Laagri won 5 times, Trans Narva won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:19 from Laagri's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.09 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Laagri wins 5, draws 0, Trans Narva wins 6

Lineups

Laagri
Formation
Trans Narva
J. Vainula
J. Vainula
A. Jarve
A. Jarve
S. Liit
S. Liit
K. Laur
K. Laur
M. Kesa
M. Kesa
I. Kartau
I. Kartau
M. Kelement
M. Kelement
Rudenko Daniil
🎯
Rudenko Daniil
A. Binate
🎯
A. Binate
K. Eerme
⚽ 2
K. Eerme
K. Kriis
K. Kriis
D. Pareiko
D. Pareiko
S. Burjanadze
S. Burjanadze
C. Campagna
C. Campagna
Eriks Santos
Eriks Santos
A. Ivanyushin
A. Ivanyushin
G. Slein
G. Slein
S. Agaptsev
S. Agaptsev
V. Kudriashov
V. Kudriashov
M. Velijev
M. Velijev
A. Gero
A. Gero
N. Baljabkin
N. Baljabkin
Laagri 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Vainula
4
A. Jarve
🟨 44'
15
S. Liit
24
K. Laur
22
M. Kesa
↓ 73'
5
I. Kartau
17
M. Kelement
⚽ 89'
23
Rudenko Daniil
🎯 63' ↓ 78'
19
A. Binate
🎯 34' ↓ 46'
9
K. Eerme
⚽ 34' ⚽ 63' ↓ 78'
16
K. Kriis
↓ 59'
Substitutes
79
R. Meesit
3
A. Kaevats
↑ 78'
6
H. Palutaja
7
R. Reimaa
↑ 59'
11
A. Kose
13
R. Sillamaa
🎯 89' ↑ 78'
21
S. Soo
↑ 73'
32
S. Kerge
41
E. Kajari
47
K. Ennuste
53
J. Ndakala
↑ 46'
Trans Narva 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
27
D. Pareiko
25
S. Burjanadze
5
C. Campagna
12
Eriks Santos
↓ 8'
4
A. Ivanyushin
↓ 60'
6
G. Slein
🟨 75'
8
S. Agaptsev
29
V. Kudriashov
↓ 73'
7
M. Velijev
↓ 73'
10
A. Gero
47
N. Baljabkin
↓ 46' 🟨 21'
Substitutes
1
M. Zahharov
2
V. Shantenkov
9
J. Doke
↑ 46'
14
A. Filatov
↑ 60'
16
S. Kondrattsev
17
A. Skinjov
↑ 8'
19
Elysee
23
A. Jegorov
↑ 73' 🟨 78'
70
J. Imeh
88
A. Besigirskis
↑ 73'
Last matches: Laagri
20.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
1
3
L
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
25.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Metta / LU
1
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Mārupe
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Riga Mariners
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Valmiera / BSS
2
1
W
Last matches: Trans Narva
21.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
2
L
20.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
1
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
09.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
0
2
L
01.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
L
26.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
7
L
22.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
6
L
18.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
5
L
07.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
3
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
1
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Tartu Welco
2
2
D
21.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
2
2
D
15.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Super Nova
1
3
L
H2H: Laagri vs Trans Narva
30.05.26
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
07.03.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Laagri
1
2
W
25.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
1
0
W
14.09.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Laagri
1
3
W
27.05.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Laagri
4
2
L
29.03.25
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
0
3
L
31.10.24
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
0
3
L
23.09.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Laagri
1
3
W
18.08.23
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
0
2
L
02.05.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Laagri
2
0
L
08.04.23
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
1
2
L
Last matches: Laagri
20.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
1
3
L
13.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
25.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Mārupe
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Riga Mariners
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Valmiera / BSS
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Laagri
Tartu Welco
3
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Laagri
PK-35
1
1
D
H2H at home: Laagri
30.05.26
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
25.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
1
0
W
29.03.25
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
0
3
L
31.10.24
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
0
3
L
18.08.23
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
0
2
L
08.04.23
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
1
2
L
Last matches: Trans Narva
21.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
0
0
D
09.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
0
2
L
26.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
7
L
22.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
6
L
11.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
5
L
03.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
15.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
2
2
D
15.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D
H2H away: Trans Narva
30.05.26
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
L
25.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
1
0
L
29.03.25
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
0
3
W
31.10.24
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
0
3
W
18.08.23
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
0
2
W
08.04.23
H2H
Laagri
Trans Narva
1
2
W

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2 17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3 18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4 18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6 17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10 17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga