ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Laagri kunstmurustaadion
Referee: R. Maalinn
Laagri
Match Timeline
Tammeka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
R. Reimaa
Laagri
33'
A. Jarve · Assist: K. Eerme
Laagri
🟨
35'
Kauan Pereira
Tammeka
🟨
36'
K. Laur
Laagri
🟨
36'
Thomas Lisboa
Tammeka
🟨
44'
K. Lapa
Tammeka
🔄
51'
H. Pedmanson ↔ R. Kallas
Tammeka
🔄
61'
K. Eerme ↔ S. Kerge
Laagri
🔄
71'
M. Kelement ↔ K. Roomussaar
Laagri
🔄
71'
R. Sillamaa ↔ A. Binate
Laagri
🔄
80'
T. Lang ↔ M. Karis
Tammeka
🔄
80'
P. Marin ↔ K. Kiidron
Tammeka
🔄
80'
Kauan Pereira ↔ G. Uggeri
Tammeka
🔄
83'
A. Jarve ↔ E. Kajari
Laagri
🔄
83'
R. Reimaa ↔ S. Soo
Laagri
🟨
85'
A. Binate
Laagri
🟨
88'
Pedro Manoel
Tammeka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Laagri Win 44.3%
Draw 17.8%
Tammeka Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Laagri1.87
Tammeka1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Laagri Laagri
WWDLW
29 GF / 21 GA
Tammeka Tammeka
WLDWL
23 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
10
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Laagri Laagri 15 matches
Tammeka Tammeka 14 matches
Laagri Statistic Tammeka
8 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 7
29 Goals For 23
21 Goals Against 25
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
10 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tammeka. Laagri arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 13 points compared to Tammeka in 7 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tammeka arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tammeka having the stronger overall control.

Laagri Analysis

Placed 4 with 13 points from 8 outings, Laagri continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Eerme (3 goals), A. Binate (2 goals), K. Kriis (2 goals), with creative support from Rudenko Daniil (5 assists), A. Binate (1 assists), K. Kriis (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka sit 7 with 7 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 9:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Koskor (4 goals), P. Marin (3 goals), Pedro Manoel (3 goals), with creative support from C. Ignatius (2 assists), Pedro Manoel (1 assists), G. Uggeri (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Laagri won 3 times, Tammeka won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:20 from Laagri's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
H2H summary: Laagri wins 3, draws 1, Tammeka wins 6

Lineups

Laagri
Formation
Tammeka
J. Vainula
J. Vainula
A. Jarve
A. Jarve
S. Liit
S. Liit
K. Laur
K. Laur
Rudenko Daniil
Rudenko Daniil
M. Kelement
M. Kelement
I. Kartau
I. Kartau
R. Reimaa
R. Reimaa
K. Eerme
🎯
K. Eerme
R. Sillamaa
R. Sillamaa
K. Kriis
K. Kriis
K. Lapa
K. Lapa
P. Veelma
P. Veelma
Pedro Manoel
Pedro Manoel
O. Kangaslahti
O. Kangaslahti
H. Pedmanson
H. Pedmanson
Thomas Lisboa
Thomas Lisboa
T. Lang
T. Lang
Kauan Pereira
Kauan Pereira
C. Ignatius
C. Ignatius
T. Koskor
T. Koskor
P. Marin
P. Marin
Laagri 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Vainula
4
A. Jarve
⚽ 33' ↓ 83'
15
S. Liit
24
K. Laur
🟨 36'
23
Rudenko Daniil
17
M. Kelement
↓ 71'
5
I. Kartau
7
R. Reimaa
↓ 83' 🟨 6'
9
K. Eerme
🎯 33' ↓ 61'
13
R. Sillamaa
↓ 71'
16
K. Kriis
Substitutes
79
R. Meesit
6
H. Palutaja
11
A. Kose
66
K. Roomussaar
↑ 71'
22
M. Kesa
19
A. Binate
↑ 71' 🟨 85'
41
E. Kajari
↑ 83'
21
S. Soo
↑ 83'
32
S. Kerge
↑ 61'
47
K. Ennuste
53
J. Ndakala
Tammeka 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
26
K. Lapa
🟨 44'
23
P. Veelma
3
Pedro Manoel
🟨 88'
44
O. Kangaslahti
24
H. Pedmanson
↓ 51'
7
Thomas Lisboa
🟨 36'
22
T. Lang
↓ 80'
89
Kauan Pereira
↓ 80' 🟨 35'
17
C. Ignatius
19
T. Koskor
79
P. Marin
↓ 80'
Substitutes
4
M. Vaino
6
M. Karis
↑ 80'
8
K. Kiidron
↑ 80'
10
G. Uggeri
↑ 80'
11
R. Muur
15
D. Epton
28
R. Kallas
↑ 51'
77
C. Kiidjarv
Last matches: Laagri
20.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
1
3
L
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
30.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Metta / LU
1
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Mārupe
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Riga Mariners
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Valmiera / BSS
2
1
W
Last matches: Tammeka
21.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
0
W
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
H2H: Laagri vs Tammeka
25.04.26
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
2
2
D
31.08.25
H2H
Tammeka
Laagri
3
0
L
13.06.25
H2H
Tammeka
Laagri
2
1
L
18.04.25
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
4
1
W
10.11.23
H2H
Tammeka
Laagri
2
1
L
09.07.23
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
3
0
W
07.06.23
H2H
Tammeka
Laagri
2
0
L
23.04.23
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
2
3
L
18.10.22
H2H
Tammeka
Laagri
5
2
L
Last matches: Laagri
20.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
1
3
L
13.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
30.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Mārupe
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Riga Mariners
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Valmiera / BSS
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Laagri
Tartu Welco
3
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Laagri
PK-35
1
1
D
H2H at home: Laagri
25.04.26
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
2
2
D
18.04.25
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
4
1
W
09.07.23
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
3
0
W
23.04.23
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
2
3
L
Last matches: Tammeka
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
1
W
H2H away: Tammeka
25.04.26
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
L
22.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
2
2
D
18.04.25
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
4
1
L
09.07.23
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
3
0
L
23.04.23
H2H
Laagri
Tammeka
2
3
W

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2 17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3 18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4 18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6 17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10 17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga