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02.05.2026 14:00
Het Kuipje
Referee: W. De Cremer
KVC Westerlo
Match Timeline
OH Leuven
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
A. K. Traore · Assist: S. Kaba
OH Leuven
⚽
15'
W. George · Assist: A. K. Traore
OH Leuven
🟨
18'
Arthur Piedfort
KVC Westerlo
🟨
20'
Łukasz Łakomy
OH Leuven
⚽
41'
K. Vaesen · Assist: O. Gil
OH Leuven
🔄
46'
R. Neustadter ↔ L. Mbamba-Muanda
KVC Westerlo
🔄
46'
A. Piedfort ↔ A. Patrao
KVC Westerlo
🔄
46'
A. K. Traore ↔ M. Heremans
OH Leuven
⚽
50'
A. Sayyadmanesh · Assist: B. Reynolds
KVC Westerlo
⚽
52'
I. Sakamoto
KVC Westerlo
🟨
65'
Shunsuke Saito
KVC Westerlo
⚽
68'
A. Sayyadmanesh
KVC Westerlo
🔄
69'
L. Lakomy ↔ S. Schrijvers
OH Leuven
🔄
69'
S. Kaba ↔ C. Ikwuemesi
OH Leuven
🔄
76'
K. Vaesen ↔ Y. Maziz
OH Leuven
🟨
78'
Óscar Gil
OH Leuven
🔄
79'
I. Sakamoto ↔ T. Van den Keybus
KVC Westerlo
🔄
79'
W. George ↔ B. Kayo
OH Leuven
🟨
85'
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
OH Leuven
🔄
90'
S. Saito ↔ S. Sydorchuk
KVC Westerlo
🔄
90'
Nacho ↔ F. Goure
KVC Westerlo

KVC Westerlo vs OH Leuven Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
KVC Westerlo Win 54.5%
Draw 20.1%
OH Leuven Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
KVC Westerlo1.37
OH Leuven1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
WWDLW
45 GF / 47 GA
OH Leuven OH Leuven
WLDWL
33 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.49
14
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
15
4.71
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 35 matches
OH Leuven OH Leuven 35 matches
KVC Westerlo Statistic OH Leuven
13 Wins 9
9 Draws 8
13 Losses 18
45 Goals For 33
47 Goals Against 52
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.49
14 BTTS Yes 16
27 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 13
4.71 Shots On Goal 4.17
14.34 Total Shots 13
5.14 Corners 4.83
48.8% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KVC Westerlo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and OH Leuven in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward OH Leuven having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors OH Leuven. OH Leuven arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

KVC Westerlo Analysis

KVC Westerlo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 29 points after 35 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses, with a 45:47 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Nacho (11 goals), E. Bayram (6 goals), A. Sayyadmanesh (5 goals), with creative support from I. Sakamoto (4 assists), J. Alcocer (4 assists), Doğucan Haspolat (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

OH Leuven Analysis

OH Leuven approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 18 points from 35 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 33:52, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through S. Kaba (6 goals), Ewoud Pletinckx (5 goals), Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi (4 goals), with creative support from Siebe Schrijvers (4 assists), T. Verlinden (4 assists), L. Lakomy (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KVC Westerlo won 6 times, OH Leuven won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from KVC Westerlo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1 / OH Leuven 3-4-3
H2H summary: KVC Westerlo wins 6, draws 5, OH Leuven wins 4

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7 30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round