BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Het Kuipje
Referee: B. Verbeke
KVC Westerlo
Match Timeline
Genk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Yaimar Medina
Genk
🟨
19'
Josimar Alcócer
KVC Westerlo
🟨
38'
Junya Ito
Genk
🔄
56'
S. Saito ↔ D. Ourega
KVC Westerlo
68'
Z. El Ouahdi · Assist: J. Ito
Genk
🔄
70'
Y. Medina ↔ J. Kayembe
Genk
🔄
70'
R. Mirisola ↔ A. Bibout
Genk
71'
A. Bibout · Assist: Z. El Ouahdi
Genk
🔄
75'
R. Neustadter ↔ S. Sydorchuk
KVC Westerlo
🔄
75'
D. Haspolat ↔ A. Patrao
KVC Westerlo
77'
A. Patrao · Assist: A. Sayyadmanesh
KVC Westerlo
🔄
83'
K. Karetsas ↔ N. Adedeji-Sternberg
Genk
🔄
88'
J. Alcocer ↔ N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
KVC Westerlo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
54.7%
-
Probability Distribution
KVC Westerlo Win 29.7%
Draw 22.1%
Genk Win 48.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
KVC Westerlo1.33
Genk1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
WWDLW
40 GF / 41 GA
Genk Genk
WLDWL
73 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
12
BTTS Yes
31
12
Over 2.5
28
4.69
Shots on Goal
5.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 32 matches
Genk Genk 46 matches
KVC Westerlo Statistic Genk
12 Wins 20
9 Draws 12
11 Losses 14
40 Goals For 73
41 Goals Against 67
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
12 BTTS Yes 31
24 Over 1.5 36
12 Over 2.5 28
7 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 8
4.69 Shots On Goal 5.63
14.5 Total Shots 15.02
5.34 Corners 5
49.1% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Genk. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KVC Westerlo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Genk in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Genk having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

KVC Westerlo Analysis

KVC Westerlo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 26 points after 32 outings. The return of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 40:41, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Nacho (9 goals), E. Bayram (6 goals), A. Sayyadmanesh (5 goals), with creative support from I. Sakamoto (4 assists), Doğucan Haspolat (4 assists), J. Alcocer (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Genk Analysis

Genk come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 25 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 48:48 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Heymans (10 goals), Z. El Ouahdi (7 goals), Oh Hyeon-Gyu (6 goals), with creative support from K. Karetsas (10 assists), J. Steuckers (6 assists), D. Heymans (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KVC Westerlo won 0 times, Genk won 10 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:32 from KVC Westerlo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.9%)
Predicted formations: KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1 / Genk 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: KVC Westerlo wins 0, draws 5, Genk wins 10
Stats
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
Genk Genk
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 7
11 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 10
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
441 Total passes 402
374 Passes accurate 343
0.90 expected_goals 2.34
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

KVC Westerlo
Formation
Genk
A. Jungdal
A. Jungdal
B. Reynolds
B. Reynolds
E. Bayram
E. Bayram
R. Neustadter
R. Neustadter
S. Kimura
S. Kimura
D. Haspolat
D. Haspolat
A. Piedfort
A. Piedfort
A. Sayyadmanesh
🎯
A. Sayyadmanesh
S. Saito
S. Saito
J. Alcocer
J. Alcocer
Nacho
Nacho
L. Brughmans
L. Brughmans
Z. El Ouahdi
🎯
Z. El Ouahdi
M. Sadick
M. Sadick
M. Smets
M. Smets
Y. Medina
Y. Medina
I. Bangoura
I. Bangoura
K. Karetsas
K. Karetsas
D. Heymans
D. Heymans
B. Heynen
B. Heynen
J. Ito
🎯
J. Ito
R. Mirisola
R. Mirisola
KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
A. Jungdal
G
22
B. Reynolds
D
40
E. Bayram
D
33
R. Neustadter
↓ 75'
D
5
S. Kimura
D
34
D. Haspolat
↓ 75'
M
46
A. Piedfort
M
7
A. Sayyadmanesh
🎯 77'
M
38
S. Saito
↓ 56'
M
77
J. Alcocer
↓ 88' 🟨 19'
M
90
Nacho
F
Substitutes
30
K. Van Langendonck
G
8
S. Sydorchuk
↑ 75'
M
39
T. Van den Keybus
M
29
F. Goure
F
23
L. Mbamba-Muanda
D
4
A. Lapage
D
10
A. Patrao
⚽ 77' ↑ 75'
F
28
D. Ourega
↑ 56'
D
11
N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
↑ 88'
Genk 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
28
L. Brughmans
G
77
Z. El Ouahdi
⚽ 68' 🎯 71'
D
3
M. Sadick
D
6
M. Smets
D
19
Y. Medina
↓ 70' 🟨 4'
D
21
I. Bangoura
M
20
K. Karetsas
↓ 83'
M
38
D. Heymans
M
8
B. Heynen
M
10
J. Ito
🎯 68' 🟨 38'
M
29
R. Mirisola
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
1
H. Van Crombrugge
G
18
J. Kayembe
↑ 70'
D
14
Y. Sor
F
24
N. Sattlberger
M
32
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
↑ 83'
F
44
J. Kongolo
D
23
A. Bibout
⚽ 71' ↑ 70'
F
7
J. Steuckers
F
30
A. Yokoyama
F
Last matches: KVC Westerlo
23.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
0
2
L
19.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
1
2
L
16.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Charleroi
1
0
W
10.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
3
L
02.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
3
3
D
25.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
2
4
L
21.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
2
0
W
11.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
2
1
W
05.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Charleroi
2
0
W
22.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
0
0
D
14.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
07.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
1
0
W
01.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
22.02.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Charleroi
2
1
W
15.02.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
2
0
W
06.02.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
St. Truiden
0
4
L
31.01.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Zulte Waregem
1
0
W
25.01.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
17.01.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Cercle Brugge
0
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
KVC Westerlo
Kasımpaşa
0
2
L
Last matches: Genk
31.05.26
Jup
Genk
Gent
0
0
D
23.05.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
2
0
W
19.05.26
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
0
0
D
16.05.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
0
0
D
10.05.26
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
0
2
L
25.04.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
1
1
D
21.04.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
1
1
D
12.04.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
0
0
D
03.04.26
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
2
1
W
22.03.26
Jup
Genk
RAAL La Louvière
5
5
D
19.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
5
L
15.03.26
Jup
Genk
St. Truiden
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
0
W
07.03.26
Jup
Genk
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
01.03.26
Jup
Genk
Gent
3
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
3
3
D
22.02.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
3
1
W
13.02.26
Jup
Genk
KV Mechelen
3
2
W
H2H: KVC Westerlo vs Genk
10.05.26
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
0
L
18.04.26
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
2
L
14.12.25
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
1
D
02.11.25
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
2
L
30.08.24
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
0
L
17.03.24
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
1
D
01.10.23
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
3
3
D
17.01.23
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
2
3
L
09.11.22
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
1
L
18.10.22
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
6
1
L
24.08.20
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
2
D
12.03.17
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
4
L
29.10.16
H2H
Genk
KVC Westerlo
2
1
L
11.12.15
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
0
D
Last matches: KVC Westerlo
19.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
1
2
L
02.05.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
3
3
D
25.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
2
4
L
05.04.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Charleroi
2
0
W
14.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
01.03.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
22.02.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Charleroi
2
1
W
06.02.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
St. Truiden
0
4
L
17.01.26
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Cercle Brugge
0
2
L
20.12.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
07.12.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Anderlecht
4
0
W
22.11.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Gent
0
0
D
02.11.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
1
L
25.10.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Dender
1
1
D
05.10.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
2
0
W
21.09.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
0
2
L
30.08.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
2
0
W
09.08.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
02.08.25
Jup
KVC Westerlo
Zulte Waregem
3
1
W
H2H at home: KVC Westerlo
18.04.26
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
2
L
02.11.25
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
2
L
17.03.24
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
1
D
17.01.23
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
2
3
L
09.11.22
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
1
L
12.03.17
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
4
L
11.12.15
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
0
D
Last matches: Genk
31.05.26
Jup
Genk
Gent
0
0
D
23.05.26
Jup
Genk
OH Leuven
2
0
W
16.05.26
Jup
Genk
Standard Liege
0
0
D
02.05.26
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
0
2
L
03.04.26
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
2
1
W
22.03.26
Jup
Genk
RAAL La Louvière
5
5
D
19.03.26
UEF
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
5
L
07.03.26
Jup
Genk
Union St. Gilloise
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
3
1
W
13.02.26
Jup
Genk
KV Mechelen
3
2
W
01.02.26
Jup
Genk
Dender
2
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
Genk
Utrecht
2
0
W
17.01.26
Jup
Genk
Zulte Waregem
1
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Genk
Puskas Academy
1
0
W
19.12.25
Jup
Genk
Charleroi
2
2
D
11.12.25
UEF
Genk
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
07.12.25
Jup
Genk
Antwerp
0
3
L
09.11.25
Jup
Genk
Gent
1
1
D
06.11.25
UEF
Genk
SC Braga
4
3
W
02.11.25
Jup
Genk
KVC Westerlo
1
0
W
H2H away: Genk
18.04.26
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
2
W
02.11.25
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
1
W
25.01.25
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
2
W
17.03.24
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
1
1
D
17.01.23
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
2
3
W
09.11.22
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
1
W
12.03.17
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
4
W
11.12.15
H2H
KVC Westerlo
Genk
0
0
D

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7
Genk Away
30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round