Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
70.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
78.3%
|
- |
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Kuressaare
12 matches
Vaprus
13 matches
| Kuressaare | Statistic | Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 20 | Goals For | 25 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.92 |
| 2.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.23 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vaprus. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vaprus having the stronger overall control. Kuressaare arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 9 points compared to Vaprus in 10 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Kuressaare approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 9 points from 7 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 7:13, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Kivi (3 goals), R. Talu (2 goals), T. Jurisoo (2 goals), with creative support from R. Talu (2 assists), E. Demidov (1 assists), D. Andreas (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 4 points from 7 games and a place of 10, Vaprus still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 6:17, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through H. Valja (3 goals), S. Viidas (3 goals), with creative support from M. Lepik (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kuressaare won 5 times, Vaprus won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:29 from Kuressaare's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Lineups
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Laagri
Kuressaare
Paide
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
Tammeka
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Laagri
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
Paide
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
Tammeka
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Paide
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
Vaprus
Metta / LU
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
Laagri
Kuressaare
Paide
Kuressaare
Tammeka
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 43 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 33 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30:15 | 15 | 31 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Vaprus
Away
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 23 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 7 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Kuressaare
Home
|
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 17:27 | -10 | 17 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 10 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11:40 | -29 | 10 |
L
D
L
L
W
|