ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Kuressaare Linnastaadion
Referee: E. Reinumagi
Kuressaare
Match Timeline
FC Levadia Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
G. Roivassepp · Assist: R. Talu
Kuressaare
51'
B. Tambedou · Assist: M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
62'
R. Talu ↔ M. Leivategija
Kuressaare
🟨
64'
M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
64'
M. Skvortsov ↔ Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
67'
M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
74'
M. Roosnupp ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
81'
G. Roivassepp ↔ R. Tarkmeel
Kuressaare
🔄
81'
S. Sinilaid ↔ A. Visse
Kuressaare
🟨
87'
B. Tambedou
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
87'
B. Tambedou ↔ R. Kirss
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
90+1'
E. Demidov
Kuressaare
🔄
90+3'
D. Andreas ↔ R. Lukas
Kuressaare

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 67.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
67.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kuressaare Win 26.2%
Draw 3%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 70.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kuressaare1.36
FC Levadia Tallinn2.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WWDLW
21 GF / 34 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
33 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2.36
2.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
9
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kuressaare Kuressaare 14 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 14 matches
Kuressaare Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
4 Wins 8
2 Draws 4
8 Losses 2
21 Goals For 33
34 Goals Against 16
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.36
2.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
9 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Kuressaare's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Levadia Tallinn. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. FC Levadia Tallinn look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 21 points while Kuressaare sit 8 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Kuressaare Analysis

With 9 points from 9 games and a place of 8, Kuressaare still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:17 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Kivi (3 goals), J. Vahermagi (2 goals), R. Talu (2 goals), with creative support from R. Talu (2 assists), R. Piil (2 assists), E. Demidov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 21 points after 9 matches. The return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 24:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Tambedou (8 goals), Wendell (4 goals), E. Otoo (3 goals), with creative support from M. Skvortsov (4 assists), M. Ainsalu (4 assists), J. Saliste (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kuressaare won 2 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:35 from Kuressaare's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97%)
H2H summary: Kuressaare wins 2, draws 1, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 12

Lineups

Kuressaare
Formation
FC Levadia Tallinn
K. Nomm
K. Nomm
E. Demidov
E. Demidov
R. Piil
R. Piil
M. Lukka
M. Lukka
J. Vahermagi
J. Vahermagi
S. Sinilaid
S. Sinilaid
D. Andreas
D. Andreas
G. Roivassepp
G. Roivassepp
R. Talu
🎯
R. Talu
T. Jurisoo
T. Jurisoo
A. Kivi
A. Kivi
K. Vallner
K. Vallner
F. Liivak
F. Liivak
V. Iboro
V. Iboro
A. Nwankwo
A. Nwankwo
J. Saliste
J. Saliste
R. Peetson
R. Peetson
M. Ainsalu
M. Ainsalu
M. Skvortsov
🎯
M. Skvortsov
M. Roosnupp
M. Roosnupp
Wendell
Wendell
B. Tambedou
B. Tambedou
Kuressaare 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
K. Nomm
77
E. Demidov
🟨 90+1'
36
R. Piil
21
M. Lukka
68
J. Vahermagi
5
S. Sinilaid
↓ 81'
8
D. Andreas
↓ 90+3'
17
G. Roivassepp
⚽ 18' ↓ 81'
7
R. Talu
🎯 18' ↓ 62'
11
T. Jurisoo
10
A. Kivi
Substitutes
22
S. Ristna
44
O. Joost
80
R. Tarkmeel
↑ 81'
37
M. Leivategija
↑ 62'
18
M. Dzemesjuk
28
R. Lukas
↑ 90+3'
13
A. Visse
↑ 81'
25
J. Lonks
FC Levadia Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Vallner
23
F. Liivak
35
V. Iboro
20
A. Nwankwo
29
J. Saliste
6
R. Peetson
11
M. Ainsalu
⚽ 67' 🟨 64'
21
M. Skvortsov
🎯 51' ↓ 64'
5
M. Roosnupp
↓ 74'
10
Wendell
9
B. Tambedou
⚽ 51' ↓ 87' 🟨 87'
Substitutes
1
O. Ani
4
T. Tammik
7
G. Lehtmets
17
R. Kirss
↑ 87'
18
Alexandre
30
H. Liiv
33
E. Otoo
↑ 74'
36
Joao Pedro
↑ 64'
71
Kaua Davi
Last matches: Kuressaare
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
21.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
03.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
14.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
3
3
D
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
28.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
H2H: Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn
02.05.26
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
08.03.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
01.08.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
L
14.06.25
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
08.04.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
L
17.09.24
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
21.07.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
0
0
D
01.06.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
6
L
23.09.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
4
0
L
20.08.23
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
06.06.23
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
02.04.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
4
1
L
18.09.22
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
3
W
Last matches: Kuressaare
16.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
0
0
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
21.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
11.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
03.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
14.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
3
3
D
H2H at home: Kuressaare
02.05.26
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.10.25
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
14.06.25
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
17.09.24
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
09.03.24
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
6
L
20.08.23
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
06.06.23
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.08.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Differdange 03
3
2
W
29.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
15.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
H2H away: FC Levadia Tallinn
02.05.26
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
W
18.10.25
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
W
14.06.25
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
W
17.09.24
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
W
09.03.24
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
6
W
20.08.23
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
L
06.06.23
H2H
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
W

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2 17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3 18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4 18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6 17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10 17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga