KuPS vs HJK Helsinki Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
52.2%
|
3.31 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.81 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.01 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
11.00 |
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
KuPS
34 matches
HJK Helsinki
31 matches
| KuPS | Statistic | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 16 |
| 11 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 50 | Goals For | 54 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.03 | Shots On Goal | 1.48 |
| 4.77 | Total Shots | 3.52 |
| 2.06 | Corners | 1.56 |
| 23.9% | Ball Possession | 20.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors HJK Helsinki. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KuPS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and HJK Helsinki in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HJK Helsinki having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
KuPS arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 43 points after 22 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 38:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Luyeye-Lutumba (2 goals), G. Engvall (1 goals), with creative support from J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 assists), G. Engvall (1 assists), C. Antwi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
HJK Helsinki come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 37 points after 22 matches. The return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 36:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 3 times, HJK Helsinki won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:3 from KuPS's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KuPS
Home
|
22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
| 2 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 42 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
HJK Helsinki
Away
|
22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 37 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 36 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 33 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
L
W
L
W
W
|