FINLAND YKKöNEN
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Vare Areena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
KuPS Akatemia Win 35.4%
Draw 5.2%
SalPa Win 59.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS Akatemia1.63
SalPa1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WWDLW
36 GF / 49 GA
SalPa SalPa
WLDWL
38 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.81
2.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
15
BTTS Yes
13
18
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 22 matches
SalPa SalPa 21 matches
KuPS Akatemia Statistic SalPa
3 Wins 9
6 Draws 6
13 Losses 6
36 Goals For 38
49 Goals Against 34
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
2.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
15 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 19
18 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by SalPa's more proactive style and KuPS Akatemia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. SalPa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. SalPa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 30 points while KuPS Akatemia sit 11 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SalPa having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring SalPa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

KuPS Akatemia are currently 11 in the standings with 15 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 36:48 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

SalPa Analysis

SalPa sit 6 with 30 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 34:33, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, KuPS Akatemia won 0 times, SalPa won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from KuPS Akatemia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 7 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
H2H summary: KuPS Akatemia wins 0, draws 0, SalPa wins 1
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
21.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
2
W
16.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
2
2
D
11.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
0
1
L
30.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
2
2
D
26.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
2
2
D
18.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
4
4
D
04.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
Last matches: SalPa
22.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
4
1
W
15.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
1
W
01.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
0
3
L
25.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
1
W
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
2
2
D
27.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
H2H: KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa
12.06.26
H2H
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
L
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
16.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
2
2
D
07.08.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
Last matches: SalPa
11.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
1
1
D
01.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
0
3
L
18.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
1
W
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 46:16 30 44
W D D W D
2 21 10 7 4 45:32 13 37
L D W D L
3
SalPa Away
21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
W L D W L
4 21 8 8 5 38:30 8 32
D D W D D
5 21 7 10 4 38:29 9 31
D D W D D
6 21 8 7 6 41:34 7 31
L D D W W
7 21 8 6 7 30:29 1 30
D W D D D
8 21 7 7 7 47:41 6 28
D D D L L
9 21 6 6 9 30:38 -8 24
W D D L W
10 21 5 5 11 32:49 -17 20
L L L W D
11 21 3 6 12 36:48 -12 15
W D L L D
12 21 4 3 14 23:64 -41 15
L W L L W