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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
19.09.2026 14:00
Kristiansund Stadion
Referee: Marius Lien, Norway
Kristiansund BK
Match Timeline
Rosenborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
D. Tufekcic
Kristiansund BK
⚽
33'
M. Bomholt
Rosenborg
🟨
39'
Dan Peter Ulvestad
Kristiansund BK
🔄
46'
D. Tufekcic ↔ T. Svendsen
Kristiansund BK
⚽
50'
N. Sahsah
Rosenborg
🔄
59'
A. F. Witry ↔ J. Svensson
Rosenborg
🔄
59'
S. Nordli ↔ M. Kjolo
Rosenborg
🔄
69'
D. Ulvestad ↔ M. Williamsen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
69'
H. Bruseth ↔ S. Skeide
Kristiansund BK
🔄
76'
N. Sahsah ↔ J. Mortensen
Rosenborg
🔄
78'
W. Igor ↔ A. Borset
Kristiansund BK
🔄
78'
G. Christensen ↔ A. Ronning
Kristiansund BK
⚽
83'
A. Chiakha · Assist: A. Pereira
Rosenborg
🔄
90+3'
M. K. Ceide ↔ D. Duris
Rosenborg

Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.54
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.5%
1.54 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.43 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
2.09 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Kristiansund BK Win 34.4%
Draw 16.1%
Rosenborg Win 49.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kristiansund BK1.16
Rosenborg1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WWDLW
30 GF / 46 GA
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WLDWL
47 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
15
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
17
3.35
Shots on Goal
5.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 30 matches
Rosenborg Rosenborg 28 matches
Kristiansund BK Statistic Rosenborg
8 Wins 14
8 Draws 4
14 Losses 10
30 Goals For 47
46 Goals Against 39
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
15 BTTS Yes 12
23 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 9
3.35 Shots On Goal 5.05
12.4 Total Shots 13.35
4.3 Corners 6.1
42.6% Ball Possession 52.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Rosenborg's more proactive style and Kristiansund BK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kristiansund BK expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Rosenborg in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rosenborg having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rosenborg.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

So far, Kristiansund BK have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 19 points from 19 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 19:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Leander Alvheim (7 goals), S. Kilen (2 goals), L. Alvheim (2 goals), with creative support from S. Kilen (2 assists), Alexander Munksgaard (2 assists), W. Igor (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rosenborg Analysis

Rosenborg are currently 6 in the standings with 27 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 31:26 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Amin Chiakha (10 goals), E. Ceïde (4 goals), S. Nordli (4 goals), with creative support from O. Selnæs (7 assists), E. Ceïde (5 assists), M. Bomholt (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Kristiansund BK won 2 times, Rosenborg won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:27 from Kristiansund BK's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.31 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
Predicted formations: Kristiansund BK 4-3-3 / Rosenborg 4-4-2
Missing players: Kristiansund BK 3, Rosenborg 5
H2H summary: Kristiansund BK wins 2, draws 4, Rosenborg wins 7

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen