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FINLAND › YKKöSLIIGA
25.09.2026 15:30
Arto Tolsa Areena
Referee: M. Haapakoski
Kooteepee
Match Timeline
MP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
M. Paavola
Kooteepee
⚽
11'
V. Laiho
MP
🟨
43'
T. Afshari
MP
🟨
44'
D. Agyei
Kooteepee
🔄
46'
P. Ogunkoya ↔ A. Tanaka
Kooteepee
🔄
46'
G. Sunday ↔ R. Polat
Kooteepee
🟨
58'
A. Kuek
MP
🟨
71'
A. Tanaka
Kooteepee
🔄
83'
S. Obioha ↔ M. Kastrati
MP
🔄
83'
A. Tervaniemi ↔ V. Janhunen
MP
🔄
86'
M. Coker ↔ O. Hanninen
Kooteepee
⚽
89'
P. Forsell
Kooteepee
🔄
90'
T. Afshari ↔ S. Stenius
MP

Kooteepee vs MP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.43 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
4.52 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Kooteepee Win 75%
Draw 4.2%
MP Win 20.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kooteepee1.66
MP1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kooteepee Kooteepee
WWDLW
47 GF / 23 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
37 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
12
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kooteepee Kooteepee 26 matches
MP MP 30 matches
Kooteepee Statistic MP
19 Wins 11
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 14
47 Goals For 37
23 Goals Against 43
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
12 BTTS Yes 15
17 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Kooteepee's more proactive style and MP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kooteepee come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Kooteepee arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 54 points compared to MP in 7 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward MP.

Kooteepee Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 54 points from 23 games, Kooteepee bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 17 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 41:21, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

MP Analysis

MP sit 7 with 25 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 25:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kooteepee won 10 times, MP won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 39:19 from Kooteepee's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Kooteepee wins 10, draws 2, MP wins 3

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 18 4 3 45:22 23 58
D W W W W
2 25 14 7 4 41:18 23 49
D L W D W
3 25 13 5 7 47:29 18 44
L W D L L
4 25 11 8 6 32:21 11 41
D L W L W
5 25 11 2 12 23:36 -13 35
L W L W D
6 25 8 5 12 29:37 -8 29
D L D D L
7
MP Away
25 8 5 12 27:35 -8 29
D W D W L
8 25 6 6 13 30:45 -15 24
W W L D D
9 25 5 8 12 30:37 -7 23
W L L D W
10 25 2 8 15 17:41 -24 14
D L D L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen