FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Arto Tolsa Areena
Kooteepee
Match Timeline
KäPa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
42'
M. Coker
Kooteepee
VAR
44'
E. Lappalainen
KäPa
45+1'
Rangel
Kooteepee
🟨
51'
R. Huhtamaki
KäPa
56'
O. Heinonen
KäPa
🔄
66'
O. Huttunen ↔ J. Makela
Kooteepee
🟨
70'
P. Lahteenmaki
KäPa
🔄
78'
A. Adebayo ↔ G. Sunday
Kooteepee
🔄
78'
Rangel ↔ A. Ruohio
Kooteepee
🔄
82'
D. Ripatti ↔ N. Leinonen
KäPa
88'
M. Paavola · Assist: P. Forsell
Kooteepee
🔄
89'
R. Huhtamaki ↔ A. Pastinen
KäPa
🟨
90+3'
A. Ruohio
Kooteepee

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.23
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.35
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.23
BTTS Yes
86%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.35
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
5.62
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.73
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Kooteepee Win 88%
Draw 6%
KäPa Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kooteepee1.65
KäPa1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kooteepee Kooteepee
WWDLW
34 GF / 21 GA
KäPa KäPa
WLDWL
23 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
10
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kooteepee Kooteepee 20 matches
KäPa KäPa 21 matches
Kooteepee Statistic KäPa
13 Wins 6
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 11
34 Goals For 23
21 Goals Against 33
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
10 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kooteepee's more proactive style and KäPa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kooteepee arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 36 points compared to KäPa in 8 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KäPa having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward KäPa. KäPa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Kooteepee Analysis

Placed 1 with 36 points from 17 outings, Kooteepee continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 30:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 16 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 19:29 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Kooteepee won 7 times, KäPa won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:12 from Kooteepee's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: Kooteepee wins 7, draws 0, KäPa wins 1
Last matches: Kooteepee
09.08.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
Klubi-04
1
0
W
31.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
SJK Akatemia
2
1
W
25.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
MP
3
3
D
18.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
PK-35
0
1
L
10.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JäPS
4
1
W
03.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JIPPO
3
3
D
27.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
Haka
2
0
W
12.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
EIF
5
1
W
08.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
Haka
0
2
L
05.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
Klubi-04
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JäPS
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
EIF
2
5
L
24.04.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
PK-35
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JIPPO
0
0
D
10.04.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
MP
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Kooteepee
Gnistan
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Kooteepee
Reipas
2
1
W
Last matches: KäPa
08.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
29.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
1
3
L
21.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
0
2
L
17.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
H2H: Kooteepee vs KäPa
15.08.26
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
05.06.26
H2H
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
W
09.05.26
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
14.03.26
H2H
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
W
27.09.24
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
7
2
W
27.07.24
H2H
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
5
W
27.05.24
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
21.01.23
H2H
KäPa
Kooteepee
4
2
L
08.01.22
H2H
KäPa
Kooteepee
0
0
D
Last matches: Kooteepee
31.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
SJK Akatemia
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
PK-35
0
1
L
10.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JäPS
4
1
W
03.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JIPPO
3
3
D
12.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
EIF
5
1
W
08.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
Haka
0
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
10.04.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
MP
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Kooteepee
Gnistan
1
1
D
H2H at home: Kooteepee
15.08.26
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
09.05.26
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
27.09.24
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
7
2
W
27.05.24
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
Last matches: KäPa
29.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
1
3
L
10.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
KäPa
JäPS
1
0
W
H2H away: KäPa
15.08.26
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
L
09.05.26
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
L
27.09.24
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
7
2
L
27.05.24
H2H
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.08
Draw 6.34
Home 1.23
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.15
Draw 3.09
Home 1.56
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.35
Over 2.75 1.51
Over 3.0 1.52
Over 3.25 1.73
Over 3.5 1.93
Over 3.75 2.17
Over 4.0 2.57
Over 4.5 3.13
Over 5.5 5.51
Under 1.5 6.16
Under 2.5 3.01
Under 2.75 2.48
Under 3.0 2.43
Under 3.25 2.06
Under 3.5 1.84
Under 3.75 1.65
Under 4.0 1.47
Under 4.5 1.33
Under 5.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 6.00
Home 1.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 2.88
Home 1.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.25
Home 1.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.5 1.91
Over 4.5 3.25
Over 5.5 5.50
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 0.5 23.00
Under 1.5 6.50
Under 2.5 3.00
Under 3.5 1.80
Under 4.5 1.33
Under 5.5 1.14
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 10.00
Draw 6.15
Home 1.19
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.75
Draw 2.91
Home 1.58
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.80
Draw 3.60
Home 1.43
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.05
Over 1.75 1.06
Over 2.0 1.08
Over 2.25 1.19
Over 2.5 1.29
Over 2.75 1.36
Over 3.0 1.44
Over 3.25 1.66
Over 3.5 1.84
Over 3.75 2.03
Over 4.0 2.30
Over 4.25 2.56
Over 4.5 2.78
Over 4.75 3.28
Over 5.0 4.25
Over 5.25 4.54
Over 5.5 4.80
Over 6.0 8.10
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 0.5 17.50
Under 1.0 13.00
Under 1.5 6.50
Under 1.75 6.05
Under 2.0 5.60
Under 2.25 3.82
Under 2.5 3.04
Under 2.75 2.70
Under 3.0 2.43
Under 3.25 2.10
Under 3.5 1.86
Under 3.75 1.70
Under 4.0 1.49
Under 4.25 1.40
Under 4.5 1.34
Under 4.75 1.25
Under 5.0 1.15
Under 5.25 1.13
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.0 1.02
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.75
Draw 4.80
Home 1.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 2.85
Home 1.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 4.5 3.20
Under 2.5 2.60
Under 3.5 1.66
Under 4.5 1.27

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 33:20 13 42
W W W D L
2 19 11 5 3 31:14 17 38
D W L D W
3 19 11 4 4 38:20 18 37
W W W W D
4 19 8 7 4 24:16 8 31
L L W D W
5 19 9 1 9 18:26 -8 28
L W L W W
6 19 8 2 9 26:30 -4 26
W W W D L
7 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
L L W D L
8
KäPa Away
19 4 4 11 20:32 -12 16
L L L L L
9 19 2 7 10 15:24 -9 13
D L L L W
10 19 2 6 11 9:25 -16 12
W L L D D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen