NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Gjemselund Stadion
Referee: H. Holthe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.8%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.8%
1.62
BTTS Yes
86%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.40
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.06
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Kongsvinger Win 73.8%
Draw 3.8%
Sogndal Win 22.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kongsvinger2.16
Sogndal1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
WWDLW
47 GF / 35 GA
Sogndal Sogndal
WLDWL
46 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
2.24
Average Goals Scored
2
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
17
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 21 matches
Sogndal Sogndal 23 matches
Kongsvinger Statistic Sogndal
12 Wins 7
5 Draws 7
4 Losses 9
47 Goals For 46
35 Goals Against 47
2.24 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
17 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 13
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kongsvinger's more proactive style and Sogndal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kongsvinger arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 27 points compared to Sogndal in 12 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sogndal having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sogndal. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sogndal arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Kongsvinger Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 27 points from 12 games, Kongsvinger bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Sogndal Analysis

Sogndal sit 12 with 12 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 20:29 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kongsvinger won 3 times, Sogndal won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:29 from Kongsvinger's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Kongsvinger 4-3-3 / Sogndal -
H2H summary: Kongsvinger wins 3, draws 5, Sogndal wins 7
Last matches: Kongsvinger
27.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
2
4
L
21.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
14.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
hodd
2
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Asane
3
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
0
2
L
20.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
ODD Ballklubb
4
2
W
16.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Lyn
3
0
W
08.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Ranheim
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Egersund
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Strommen
2
2
D
18.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Moss
2
1
W
13.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Raufoss
3
1
W
07.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Bryne
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Hammarby FF
3
3
D
21.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
3
2
W
18.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Grorud
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Strommen
1
3
L
24.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Lillestrom
4
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
Last matches: Sogndal
27.06.26
1.
Sogndal
Egersund
4
2
W
21.06.26
1.
Sogndal
Raufoss
1
3
L
14.06.26
1.
Sogndal
Moss
2
4
L
31.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Strommen
3
2
W
25.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
20.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Stabaek
2
2
D
16.05.26
1.
Sogndal
hodd
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Haugesund
5
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Bryne
3
3
D
25.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Asane
2
0
W
18.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Lyn
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Sogndal
ODD Ballklubb
0
4
L
29.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Asane
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Raufoss
1
1
D
13.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Bryne
2
3
L
06.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Stabaek
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
hodd
5
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Bjarg
1
1
D
12.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
Kryvbas KR
1
2
L
H2H: Kongsvinger vs Sogndal
28.09.25
H2H
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
2
2
D
14.06.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
4
2
W
07.05.25
H2H
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
3
3
D
02.11.24
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
0
1
L
22.06.24
H2H
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
2
0
L
19.08.23
H2H
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
3
3
D
29.05.23
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
1
0
W
03.10.22
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
0
0
D
09.05.22
H2H
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
2
1
L
28.09.20
H2H
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
5
2
L
30.08.20
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
0
0
D
25.08.19
H2H
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
2
1
L
30.06.19
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
3
0
W
02.09.18
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
1
3
L
22.04.18
H2H
Sogndal
Kongsvinger
4
1
L
Last matches: Kongsvinger
21.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
31.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Asane
3
1
W
20.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
ODD Ballklubb
4
2
W
01.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Egersund
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Moss
2
1
W
07.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Bryne
3
0
W
18.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Grorud
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Strommen
1
3
L
H2H at home: Kongsvinger
14.06.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
4
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
0
1
L
29.05.23
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
1
0
W
03.10.22
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
0
0
D
30.08.20
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
0
0
D
30.06.19
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
3
0
W
02.09.18
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
1
3
L
Last matches: Sogndal
21.06.26
1.
Sogndal
Raufoss
1
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Strommen
3
2
W
25.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
16.05.26
1.
Sogndal
hodd
2
2
D
01.05.26
1.
Sogndal
Bryne
3
3
D
18.04.26
1.
Sogndal
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Sogndal
ODD Ballklubb
0
4
L
06.03.26
Fri
Sogndal
Stabaek
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Sogndal
hodd
5
1
W
H2H away: Sogndal
14.06.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
4
2
L
02.11.24
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
0
1
W
29.05.23
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
1
0
L
03.10.22
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
0
0
D
30.08.20
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
0
0
D
30.06.19
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
3
0
L
02.09.18
H2H
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
1
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.53
Draw 4.31
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.57
Draw 2.87
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 2.75 1.54
Over 3.0 1.56
Over 3.25 1.65
Over 3.5 1.78
Over 3.75 1.95
Over 4.0 2.19
Over 4.25 2.42
Over 4.5 2.63
Over 5.5 4.35
Under 1.5 5.77
Under 2.5 2.90
Under 2.75 2.43
Under 3.0 2.39
Under 3.25 2.21
Under 3.5 2.02
Under 3.75 1.85
Under 4.0 1.67
Under 4.25 1.56
Under 4.5 1.47
Under 5.5 1.21
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 4.33
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.75
Home 2.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 3.10
Home 1.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.30
Over 3.5 1.73
Over 4.5 2.62
Over 5.5 4.50
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Over 8.5 29.00
Over 9.5 51.00
Under 0.5 26.00
Under 1.5 8.00
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 3.5 2.00
Under 4.5 1.44
Under 5.5 1.18
Under 6.5 1.07
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.61
Draw 4.20
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.64
Draw 2.49
Home 2.07
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.19
Draw 3.14
Home 1.84
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.03
Over 1.75 1.05
Over 2.0 1.06
Over 2.25 1.17
Over 2.5 1.27
Over 2.75 1.33
Over 3.0 1.40
Over 3.25 1.58
Over 3.5 1.77
Over 3.75 1.95
Over 4.0 2.16
Over 4.25 2.44
Over 4.5 2.62
Over 4.75 3.08
Over 5.0 3.84
Over 5.25 4.16
Over 5.5 4.45
Over 6.0 7.40
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 19.00
Over 8.5 29.00
Over 9.5 50.00
Under 0.5 19.50
Under 1.0 14.00
Under 1.5 7.20
Under 1.75 6.70
Under 2.0 6.15
Under 2.25 4.12
Under 2.5 3.14
Under 2.75 2.93
Under 3.0 2.62
Under 3.25 2.22
Under 3.5 2.00
Under 3.75 1.81
Under 4.0 1.58
Under 4.25 1.49
Under 4.5 1.38
Under 4.75 1.30
Under 5.0 1.18
Under 5.25 1.16
Under 5.5 1.14
Under 6.0 1.03
Under 6.5 1.07
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 4.60
Home 1.52
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.85
Home 1.93
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 3.25
Home 1.82
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.05
Over 2.0 1.09
Over 2.25 1.18
Over 2.5 1.28
Over 2.75 1.33
Over 3.0 1.40
Over 3.25 1.56
Over 3.5 1.73
Over 3.75 1.90
Over 4.0 2.17
Over 4.25 2.43
Over 4.5 2.65
Over 4.75 3.10
Over 5.0 3.90
Over 5.25 4.20
Over 5.5 4.40
Under 1.5 6.75
Under 2.0 6.00
Under 2.25 4.10
Under 2.5 3.25
Under 2.75 2.95
Under 3.0 2.65
Under 3.25 2.23
Under 3.5 1.97
Under 3.75 1.78
Under 4.0 1.58
Under 4.25 1.48
Under 4.5 1.41
Under 4.75 1.30
Under 5.0 1.20
Under 5.25 1.18
Under 5.5 1.16

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 4 1 38:18 20 28
D D W W W
2 13 9 1 3 40:25 15 28
W L W W W
3 13 8 3 2 31:20 11 27
L D W W L
4 13 7 3 3 27:14 13 24
W L W D W
5 13 7 3 3 26:16 10 24
D D L W W
6 13 6 2 5 32:29 3 20
L W L D W
7 13 6 1 6 21:19 2 19
W W W L W
8 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
W D L L W
9 13 5 2 6 23:29 -6 17
L L W D L
10 13 5 1 7 21:25 -4 16
L W L L L
11 13 5 1 7 18:22 -4 16
L W W W L
12 13 4 3 6 24:31 -7 15
W L L W L
13 14 4 1 9 17:30 -13 13
W L L L L
14 14 4 1 9 20:30 -10 12
L W L W L
15 13 3 2 8 18:35 -17 11
W W L D L
16 13 3 1 9 16:31 -15 10
L W L L L
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation