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LITHUANIA › A LYGA
09.09.2026 15:45
Referee: D. Simenas
Kauno Žalgiris
Match Timeline
Suduva Marijampole
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
Y. Karashima
Kauno Žalgiris
⚽
30'
G. Debeljuh
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
58'
M. Burba ↔ A. Benchaib
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
58'
Leo Ribeiro ↔ L. Krekovic
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
67'
G. Debeljuh ↔ Renan Oliveira
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
67'
F. Steponavicius ↔ T. Lucky
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
67'
F. Tangiri ↔ M. Chajia
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
67'
A. Zivanovic ↔ D. Antanavicius
Suduva Marijampole
⚽
69'
A. Benchaib
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
73'
S. M. Sanokho ↔ M. Mikulenas
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
73'
H. Uzochukwu ↔ T. Milasius
Suduva Marijampole
⚽
73'
Renan Oliveira
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
77'
R. Lekiatas ↔ A. Tolordava
Kauno Žalgiris
🔄
77'
A. Kalik ↔ G. Sirgedas
Kauno Žalgiris
🟨
80'
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
⚽
88'
Y. Tsykalo
Suduva Marijampole
⚽
90'
L. Krekovic
Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57%
Odds 3.46
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 2.12
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57%
3.46 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.2%
2.12 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Kauno Žalgiris Win 32.7%
Draw 10.3%
Suduva Marijampole Win 57%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kauno Žalgiris1.41
Suduva Marijampole1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
WWDLW
70 GF / 34 GA
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
WLDWL
55 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.72
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
17
BTTS Yes
17
23
Over 2.5
17
2.25
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 40 matches
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 32 matches
Kauno Žalgiris Statistic Suduva Marijampole
21 Wins 18
11 Draws 10
8 Losses 4
70 Goals For 55
34 Goals Against 29
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
17 BTTS Yes 17
29 Over 1.5 24
23 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 7
19 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 7
2.25 Shots On Goal 0
3.38 Total Shots 0
2.38 Corners 0
22% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Suduva Marijampole. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Suduva Marijampole having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Kauno Žalgiris Analysis

Placed 1 with 31 points from 19 outings, Kauno Žalgiris continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 34:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Suduva Marijampole Analysis

Suduva Marijampole approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 30 points after 19 outings. With 7 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kauno Žalgiris won 4 times, Suduva Marijampole won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:18 from Kauno Žalgiris's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1 / Suduva Marijampole -
H2H summary: Kauno Žalgiris wins 4, draws 7, Suduva Marijampole wins 4

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 9 5 56:20 36 51
W L W W W
2 28 13 11 4 39:25 14 50
D D L W W
3 28 13 6 9 43:35 8 45
W W L W D
4 28 13 5 10 41:34 7 44
L W D W L
5 28 11 8 9 32:28 4 41
W L L D D
6 28 10 8 10 36:40 -4 38
L L D L L
7 28 9 5 14 29:43 -14 32
L W W W L
8 29 4 14 11 31:48 -17 26
D D L D D
9 29 3 8 18 24:58 -34 17
L D L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L