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TURKEY › SüPER LIG
17.05.2026 17:00
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Referee: A. D. Kayatepe
Kasımpaşa
Match Timeline
Galatasaray
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
27'
A. Benedyczak · Assist: F. Diabate
Kasımpaşa
🔄
46'
G. Guvenc ↔ B. Sen
Galatasaray
🔄
60'
R. Nhaga ↔ A. Kutucu
Galatasaray
🔄
78'
S. Boey ↔ R. Sallai
Galatasaray
🔄
78'
A. Unyay ↔ I. Jakobs
Galatasaray
🔄
80'
F. Diabate ↔ M. Ben Ouanes
Kasımpaşa
🟨
90+4'
Wilfried Singo
Galatasaray
🔄
90+1'
A. Benedyczak ↔ P. Gueye
Kasımpaşa
🔄
90+3'
L. Sane ↔ C. Guner
Galatasaray
🔄
90+1'
I. Gundogan ↔ A. Yuzgec
Galatasaray

Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kasımpaşa Win 40.6%
Draw 0%
Galatasaray Win 59.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kasımpaşa1.02
Galatasaray1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
WWDLW
33 GF / 52 GA
Galatasaray Galatasaray
WLDWL
106 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
19
BTTS Yes
28
16
Over 2.5
33
2.73
Shots on Goal
5.49

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 34 matches
Galatasaray Galatasaray 52 matches
Kasımpaşa Statistic Galatasaray
7 Wins 34
11 Draws 6
16 Losses 12
33 Goals For 106
52 Goals Against 57
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
19 BTTS Yes 28
25 Over 1.5 43
16 Over 2.5 33
8 Over 3.5 21
8 Clean Sheets 16
11 Failed To Score 9
2.73 Shots On Goal 5.49
9.7 Total Shots 15.38
4.27 Corners 5.04
44.9% Ball Possession 58.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Galatasaray's more proactive style and Kasımpaşa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Galatasaray. Galatasaray carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 77 points while Kasımpaşa sit 14 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Kasımpaşa Analysis

Kasımpaşa sit 14 with 32 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 32:49, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Benedyczak (9 goals), P. Gueye (5 goals), Cláudio Winck (3 goals), with creative support from M. Ben Ouanes (6 assists), İrfan Can Kahveci (3 assists), F. Diabate (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Galatasaray Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 77 points from 33 games, Galatasaray bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 24 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 77:29, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by V. Osimhen (15 goals), M. Icardi (14 goals), B. A. Yilmaz (8 goals), with creative support from B. A. Yilmaz (11 assists), Y. Akgun (9 assists), V. Osimhen (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Kasımpaşa won 3 times, Galatasaray won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:30 from Kasımpaşa's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.79 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Kasımpaşa 4-2-3-1 / Galatasaray 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Kasımpaşa 5, Galatasaray 4
H2H summary: Kasımpaşa wins 3, draws 3, Galatasaray wins 8

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation