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02.07.2026 07:00

Karpaty

1 - 1

Yarud Mariupol'

Karpaty

Match Timeline

Yarud Mariupol'

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Karpaty vs Yarud Mariupol' Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 61.6%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 66.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 55.4%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	61.6%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	66.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	55.4%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	89.3%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Karpaty Win 61.6%

Draw 9.6%

Yarud Mariupol' Win 28.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Karpaty1.31

Yarud Mariupol'1.52

Recent Form (Last 5)

Karpaty

WWDLW

9 GF / 9 GA

Yarud Mariupol'

WLDWL

5 GF / 4 GA

Key Stats

1.29

Average Goals Scored

1.67

1.29

Average Goals Conceded

1.33

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karpaty 7 matches

Yarud Mariupol' 3 matches

Karpaty	Statistic	Yarud Mariupol'
2	Wins	1
1	Draws	1
4	Losses	1
9	Goals For	5
9	Goals Against	4
1.29	Avg Goals Scored	1.67
1.29	Avg Goals Conceded	1.33
4	BTTS Yes	2
5	Over 1.5	3
4	Over 2.5	1
1	Over 3.5	1
2	Clean Sheets	1
1	Failed To Score	0
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Karpaty won 3 times, Yarud Mariupol' won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Karpaty's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)

Predicted formations: Karpaty 4-1-4-1 / Yarud Mariupol' -

H2H summary: Karpaty wins 3, draws 2, Yarud Mariupol' wins 0