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SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
10.10.2026 11:00
Stadshagens IP

Karlberg vs Vasalund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Karlberg Win 61.3%
Draw 10.7%
Vasalund Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Karlberg1.78
Vasalund1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Karlberg Karlberg
WWDLW
61 GF / 58 GA
Vasalund Vasalund
WLDWL
52 GF / 65 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
22
BTTS Yes
26
24
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Karlberg Karlberg 36 matches
Vasalund Vasalund 34 matches
Karlberg Statistic Vasalund
16 Wins 11
6 Draws 9
14 Losses 14
61 Goals For 52
58 Goals Against 65
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
22 BTTS Yes 26
31 Over 1.5 31
24 Over 2.5 24
16 Over 3.5 17
8 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vasalund. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vasalund having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Vasalund arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Karlberg Analysis

So far, Karlberg have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 32 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, while the 33:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vasalund Analysis

Vasalund sit 12 with 27 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 36:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Karlberg won 3 times, Vasalund won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Karlberg's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
H2H summary: Karlberg wins 3, draws 1, Vasalund wins 5

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 18 3 4 60:20 40 57
W W W W W
2 25 14 6 5 46:28 18 48
W W W W L
3 25 14 5 6 47:34 13 47
D W L W W
4 25 13 6 6 51:25 26 45
L W L D W
5 25 12 7 6 41:35 6 43
D W D D W
6 25 13 3 9 38:40 -2 42
W L D W W
7 25 11 8 6 37:25 12 41
D D D D L
8 25 9 5 11 43:45 -2 32
L L W L L
9 25 9 5 11 34:41 -7 32
W L W W L
10 25 9 5 11 33:41 -8 32
W D L L W
11 25 9 3 13 29:43 -14 30
L L W L W
12 25 7 6 12 36:52 -16 27
L W L D L
13 25 5 9 11 24:36 -12 24
L L D L L
14 25 5 7 13 30:46 -16 22
D W W L L
15 25 5 4 16 33:55 -22 19
D L L W L
16 25 3 6 16 45:61 -16 15
D L L L W