Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
91.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
54.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.8%
|
- |
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Kalju Nomme
17 matches
Vaprus
14 matches
| Kalju Nomme | Statistic | Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 8 |
| 38 | Goals For | 26 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.86 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.07 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Vaprus's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Vaprus. Kalju Nomme arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 19 points compared to Vaprus in 9 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vaprus having the stronger overall control. Vaprus arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Kalju Nomme come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 19 points after 8 matches. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 11:2, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Mannilaan (5 goals), N. Ivanov (3 goals), M. Orlov (2 goals), with creative support from M. Orlov (3 assists), R. Siht (3 assists), D. Tarassenkov (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Vaprus approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 7 points from 8 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 6:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through H. Valja (3 goals), S. Viidas (3 goals), M. Limberg (1 goals), with creative support from M. Lepik (2 assists), K. Aloe (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Kalju Nomme won 8 times, Vaprus won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:18 from Kalju Nomme's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.
Lineups
Kalju Nomme
Paide
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
Paide
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
Paide
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
Paide
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Paide
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
Vaprus
Metta / LU
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Paide
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
Paide
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 43 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 33 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Kalju Nomme
Home
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30:15 | 15 | 31 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Vaprus
Away
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 23 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 7 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 17:27 | -10 | 17 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11:40 | -29 | 10 |
L
D
L
L
W
|