ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Hiiu Stadium
Referee: K. Kaivoja
Kalju Nomme
Match Timeline
Laagri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
K. Kriis
Laagri
🔄
23'
K. Kask ↔ N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
44'
D. Sotsugov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
49'
O. Musolitin
Kalju Nomme
🔄
53'
K. Kriis ↔ J. Ndakala
Laagri
53'
A. Nikolajev · Assist: M. Mannilaan
Kalju Nomme
🟨
56'
T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
🟨
60'
N. Andreev
Kalju Nomme
🔄
64'
T. Baptista ↔ M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
70'
R. Vukusic
Kalju Nomme
🔄
72'
K. Eerme ↔ H. Palutaja
Laagri
🔄
72'
M. Kesa ↔ S. Kerge
Laagri
🟨
79'
A. Nikolajev
Kalju Nomme
🔄
83'
Rudenko Daniil ↔ A. Kose
Laagri
🔄
83'
S. Soo ↔ R. Sillamaa
Laagri
🟨
90+6'
J. Ndakala
Laagri
🔄
90'
A. Nikolajev ↔ D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
90'
M. Mannilaan ↔ E. E. Lotar Eyang
Kalju Nomme

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 41.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 21.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
41.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
21.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kalju Nomme Win 68.3%
Draw 10.6%
Laagri Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kalju Nomme1.91
Laagri1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WWDLW
44 GF / 18 GA
Laagri Laagri
WLDWL
31 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.1
Average Goals Scored
1.63
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
9
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 21 matches
Laagri Laagri 19 matches
Kalju Nomme Statistic Laagri
12 Wins 9
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 7
44 Goals For 31
18 Goals Against 31
2.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
9 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Laagri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Laagri having the stronger overall control. Kalju Nomme arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 25 points compared to Laagri in 5 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Laagri. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Laagri arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Kalju Nomme come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 25 points after 12 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 24:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on M. Mannilaan (6 goals), N. Ivanov (5 goals), M. Orlov (3 goals), with creative support from M. Orlov (4 assists), R. Siht (3 assists), B. Vastsuk (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Laagri Analysis

Laagri approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 16 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 15:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Eerme (3 goals), K. Kriis (3 goals), A. Binate (2 goals), with creative support from Rudenko Daniil (5 assists), K. Eerme (1 assists), K. Kriis (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kalju Nomme won 12 times, Laagri won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:9 from Kalju Nomme's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
H2H summary: Kalju Nomme wins 12, draws 2, Laagri wins 1

Lineups

Kalju Nomme
Formation
Laagri
H. Perk
H. Perk
D. Mashchenko
D. Mashchenko
R. Vukusic
R. Vukusic
U. Korre
U. Korre
A. Nikolajev
A. Nikolajev
O. Musolitin
O. Musolitin
D. Sotsugov
D. Sotsugov
R. Siht
R. Siht
K. Kask
K. Kask
T. Baptista
T. Baptista
M. Mannilaan
🎯
M. Mannilaan
J. Vainula
J. Vainula
A. Jarve
A. Jarve
S. Liit
S. Liit
K. Laur
K. Laur
M. Kesa
M. Kesa
I. Kartau
I. Kartau
M. Kelement
M. Kelement
Rudenko Daniil
Rudenko Daniil
S. Soo
S. Soo
K. Eerme
K. Eerme
K. Kriis
K. Kriis
Kalju Nomme 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Perk
78
D. Mashchenko
46
R. Vukusic
🟨 70'
5
U. Korre
22
A. Nikolajev
⚽ 53' ↓ 90' 🟨 79'
8
O. Musolitin
🟨 49'
88
D. Sotsugov
🟨 44'
26
R. Siht
6
K. Kask
↓ 23'
21
T. Baptista
↓ 64' 🟨 56'
27
M. Mannilaan
🎯 53' ↓ 90'
Substitutes
69
M. Pavlov
2
J. Lillemets
7
D. Tarassenkov
↑ 90'
10
N. Ivanov
↑ 23'
11
M. Orlov
↑ 64'
17
E. E. Lotar Eyang
↑ 90'
20
M. Tambedou
59
B. Vastsuk
74
F. Jekimov
Laagri 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Vainula
4
A. Jarve
15
S. Liit
24
K. Laur
22
M. Kesa
↓ 72'
5
I. Kartau
17
M. Kelement
23
Rudenko Daniil
↓ 83'
21
S. Soo
↓ 83'
9
K. Eerme
↓ 72'
16
K. Kriis
↓ 53' 🟨 10'
Substitutes
79
R. Meesit
3
A. Kaevats
6
H. Palutaja
↑ 72'
11
A. Kose
↑ 83'
13
R. Sillamaa
↑ 83'
18
I. Bah
32
S. Kerge
↑ 72'
47
K. Ennuste
53
J. Ndakala
↑ 53' 🟨 90+6'
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
Last matches: Laagri
20.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
1
3
L
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
30.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
25.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Metta / LU
1
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Mārupe
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Riga Mariners
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Valmiera / BSS
2
1
W
H2H: Kalju Nomme vs Laagri
20.05.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
08.04.26
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
W
19.10.25
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
3
W
24.09.25
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
2
3
W
18.06.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
09.04.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
0
W
11.01.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
0
0
D
04.02.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
0
W
14.10.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
1
W
30.09.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
0
L
22.07.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
12.05.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
1
D
19.03.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
2
W
15.02.23
H2H
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
1
2
W
15.02.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
1
W
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
10.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
1
1
D
H2H at home: Kalju Nomme
20.05.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
18.06.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
09.04.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
0
W
11.01.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
0
0
D
04.02.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
0
W
14.10.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
1
W
22.07.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
12.05.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
1
D
15.02.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
1
W
Last matches: Laagri
17.06.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
0
1
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Metta / LU
1
5
L
01.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
H2H away: Laagri
20.05.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
L
18.06.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
L
09.04.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
0
L
11.01.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
0
0
D
04.02.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
0
L
14.10.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
3
1
L
22.07.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
L
12.05.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
1
D
15.02.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
1
L

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2 17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3 18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4 18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6 17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10 17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga