ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Hiiu Stadium
Referee: K. Kulljastinen
Kalju Nomme
Match Timeline
Flora Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
48'
D. Sotsugov
Kalju Nomme
51'
S. Tovstik · Assist: N. Kalmokov
Flora Tallinn
🟨
54'
S. Alamaa
Flora Tallinn
🔄
60'
D. Sotsugov ↔ I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
🔄
60'
N. Ivanov ↔ M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
63'
H. Perk
Kalju Nomme
🔄
65'
O. Musolitin ↔ K. Kask
Kalju Nomme
🔄
73'
S. Alamaa ↔ D. Kuraksin
Flora Tallinn
🔄
73'
T. Varjund ↔ I. Antonov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
81'
N. Kalmokov ↔ T. Teevali
Flora Tallinn
🔄
81'
R. Sappinen ↔ T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
🔄
83'
B. Vastsuk ↔ T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
🟨
90+4'
V. Kreida
Flora Tallinn
🔄
90+4'
R. Valdmets ↔ O. Pihela
Flora Tallinn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kalju Nomme Win 72.2%
Draw 0%
Flora Tallinn Win 27.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kalju Nomme1.77
Flora Tallinn1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WWDLW
42 GF / 17 GA
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WLDWL
32 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2.21
Average Goals Scored
1.88
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
9
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 19 matches
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 17 matches
Kalju Nomme Statistic Flora Tallinn
11 Wins 10
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 6
42 Goals For 32
17 Goals Against 19
2.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
9 BTTS Yes 5
16 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Flora Tallinn. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Flora Tallinn look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flora Tallinn having the stronger overall control.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Kalju Nomme come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 22 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 22:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Mannilaan (5 goals), N. Ivanov (4 goals), M. Orlov (3 goals), with creative support from M. Orlov (3 assists), R. Siht (3 assists), B. Vastsuk (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 18 points after 10 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a 21:12 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on R. Sappinen (6 goals), S. Alamaa (3 goals), S. Zenjov (3 goals), with creative support from S. Alamaa (4 assists), R. Sappinen (3 assists), S. Zenjov (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kalju Nomme won 4 times, Flora Tallinn won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Kalju Nomme's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Kalju Nomme wins 4, draws 5, Flora Tallinn wins 6

Lineups

Kalju Nomme
Formation
Flora Tallinn
H. Perk
H. Perk
D. Mashchenko
D. Mashchenko
R. Vukusic
R. Vukusic
M. Tambedou
M. Tambedou
R. Siht
R. Siht
O. Musolitin
O. Musolitin
B. Vastsuk
B. Vastsuk
N. Ivanov
N. Ivanov
D. Sotsugov
D. Sotsugov
M. Mannilaan
M. Mannilaan
D. Tarassenkov
D. Tarassenkov
K. Kivila
K. Kivila
N. Kalmokov
🎯
N. Kalmokov
M. Kolobov
M. Kolobov
A. Kollo
A. Kollo
S. Tovstik
S. Tovstik
V. Kreida
V. Kreida
R. Valdmets
R. Valdmets
S. Zenjov
S. Zenjov
T. Varjund
T. Varjund
S. Alamaa
S. Alamaa
R. Sappinen
R. Sappinen
Kalju Nomme 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Perk
🟨 63'
78
D. Mashchenko
46
R. Vukusic
20
M. Tambedou
26
R. Siht
8
O. Musolitin
↓ 65'
59
B. Vastsuk
↓ 83'
10
N. Ivanov
↓ 60'
88
D. Sotsugov
↓ 60' 🟨 48'
27
M. Mannilaan
7
D. Tarassenkov
Substitutes
69
M. Pavlov
22
A. Nikolajev
5
U. Korre
30
I. Jabir
↑ 60'
6
K. Kask
↑ 65'
24
A. Iljin
2
J. Lillemets
11
M. Orlov
↑ 60'
21
T. Baptista
↑ 83'
17
E. E. Lotar Eyang
9
G. Chinemeren
Flora Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Kivila
2
N. Kalmokov
🎯 51' ↓ 81'
23
M. Kolobov
3
A. Kollo
26
S. Tovstik
⚽ 51'
32
V. Kreida
🟨 90+4'
18
R. Valdmets
↓ 90+4'
20
S. Zenjov
14
T. Varjund
↓ 73'
29
S. Alamaa
↓ 73' 🟨 54'
11
R. Sappinen
↓ 81'
Substitutes
33
E. Grunvald
5
A. Vaher
6
R. Veering
7
D. Kuraksin
↑ 73'
8
T. Teevali
↑ 81'
17
T. Usta
↑ 81'
21
A. Kaares
24
O. Pihela
↑ 90+4'
67
I. Antonov
↑ 73'
89
M. Kalimullin
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
28.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
21.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
1
2
L
16.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
29.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
4
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
0
W
30.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
5
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
L
12.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
3
L
22.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
0
2
L
15.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
3
0
W
24.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Riga
0
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Ogre United
1
0
W
H2H: Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn
10.05.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
15.03.26
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
1
W
28.09.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
06.07.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
2
3
W
05.04.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
01.02.25
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
0
L
23.10.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
3
2
L
25.09.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
15.06.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
0
D
21.04.24
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
11.11.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
17.09.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
0
D
07.05.23
H2H
Flora Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
3
1
L
19.04.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
4
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
10.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
1
1
D
H2H at home: Kalju Nomme
10.05.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
28.09.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
25.09.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
15.06.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
0
D
17.09.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
0
D
19.04.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
Last matches: Flora Tallinn
28.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
1
W
16.06.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
29.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
4
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Paide
2
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
L
03.04.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Tammeka
1
3
L
22.03.26
Mei
Flora Tallinn
Laagri
0
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
AIK Stockholm
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
2
2
D
10.07.25
UEF
Flora Tallinn
Valur Reykjavik
0
3
L
H2H away: Flora Tallinn
10.05.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
W
28.09.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
3
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
2
W
25.09.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
3
0
L
15.06.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
0
D
17.09.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
0
D
19.04.23
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 46:15 31 43
L D W W W
2 17 11 0 6 35:19 16 33
W L W L W
3 18 9 4 5 30:15 15 31
D D L D L
4 18 8 5 5 27:22 5 29
D W W D D
5 16 7 2 7 18:20 -2 23
W W D L W
6 17 7 2 8 21:31 -10 23
W L D W L
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 17 5 2 10 17:27 -10 17
L D W D W
10 17 3 1 13 11:40 -29 10
L D L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga